Posted by
rycK on Tuesday, December 08, 2009 9:12:46 AM
The Phony Quest for More Jobs--A Prediction:
Obama will Just Create and Transfer Debt for Jobs Funding.
Update 12.08.09: President
Obama unveils jobs plan, no price tag http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1209/30347.html
“We are all Keynesians now” was a quote
from the past in my Econ 101 book by Paul Samuelson in early 1970. The origin
of this was probably Richard Nixon who may have misunderstood Milton Friedman’s
comment in Time in 1966. The quote is partially a lament in that some switch
from a free market economy to one in which the government had more control is
mandated and was considered not to be the best option. Keynesianism is
basically a criticism of any feature of a given western economy where the
business people, far outside and away from government controls, make decisions in the economy using free
market operations and this capitalism fails to supply a satisfactory solution
to some element of the economy.
Marxist economies are never criticized by Keynesians. When any element of the
free market fails to meet expectations then the government may, by the License
of Keynes, step in and ‘correct’ that problem with fiscal and monetary
policies. Conversely, many socialist or Marxist economies of the
command-and-control sort fail miserably, crumble in debt and inflation, and
recover only from entrepreneurism [read capitalism]—the very antithesis of
Keynes. Such examples are the shrunken remains of the USSR and most parts of Eastern Europe and of course the People’s
Republic of China. As such we can nosily abuse the
old pendulum cliché and accuse the parties of having learned nothing from the
past as we swing into socialism or worse as is our fate.
There is
always the manufactured fear that the economy will fall into the clutches of Laissez-faire
[“hands off”] economics
where corporations have too much freedom from government and gobble up the
wealth. Presumably, the ‘government’ can adjust the economic factors and
‘control’ business and generate an egalitarian society that benefits all. The
quest for ‘equality’
becomes the basis for new government programs that attempt to control business
and redistribute the wealth when it swings out of balance. This is featured in
the currently failing California Model
which will soon show us a few new and exciting adventures in defaults and
failed government. This nostrum that government can step in and ‘fix’ things al
la FDR never happens, but is a good political vector to pursue and those with
little or nothing will always be attracted to some persons or theory if they
are promised money.
If this
problem was solidly circumscribed solely by the elements of the economies in
question then we might strike some reasonable balance among the two approaches
and avoid an oscillatory set of reflexive measures that bounce off the
extremes. We cannot do this because of politics. The economic world exists only
in an ensemble of economic pyramids with only a few who can manage to generate
wealth thus producing a ladder system where people are necessarily unequal.
This is unacceptable to the left. They believe in such nostrums as affirmative
action where just about anybody can run a corporation or perform intricate
brain surgery. They deny the facts as outlined in the Bell Curve
and insist that there is no distribution of cognitive skills and we must be
equal. We, thusly, cannot trust our politicians, as history clearly shows us,
with the care and feeding of any economy less they destroy it in the quest for
power based on greed or some ideology with the phony excuse that they will
provide equality.
Socialists
like Bernard Shaw [Shavianism]
had argued for forced
equality using government policies whereby they would accept and implement his
Fabianism. He monotonously postulated that
incomes should be equal. Shaw could
not produce a scenario by which this might occur after repeated requests but he
did praise the Bolsheviks for their attempts in this area. Of course, the
Soviets distributed the loot from their plunder after murdering millions
according to party membership thus providing a very good life for the top tier
of the 4% of the Russian population who were party members and the rest were
left with a much smaller portion or to starve.
The Ukrainians were summarily starved. Strangely, the typical leftist
can celebrate and praise a flamboyant dictator like Castro who impoverishes
their own country and produces poverty, war and famine as long as the money the
dictator squanders was derived from the rich or from nationalizing corporate
capital. Food
was the issue in the Ukraine in the 30s as elsewhere and the Soviet solution
was Holodomor (Ukrainian: ????????? translation:
death by starvation).[13] The
left can seemingly stand up and offer to support the ‘poor’ even though they
preach these lies from atop a pile of 100,000,000 dead bodies.
So, we face a new Obama mandate to ‘create
jobs’ in the Keynesian or Roosevelt cases, as appropriate, and business must
submit to some new pressures or shut down or leave this hostile environment for
capitalism. The phony ‘stimulus’ programs of the last year with its non
existent ‘shovel ready’ jobs and infrastructure refurbishments were a failure
and a joke. The reporting of jobs on recovery.gov gives us a hint of how this
administration handles jobs, facts and reports the truth.
Our major problem in this economy was the wild and unrestrained use of credit
that allowed people with no creditworthiness to ‘buy’ homes with nothing down mandated
by leftist political pressure groups and the government as in the ‘affordable
housing’ laws, a Neo-Marxian solution called the CRA
[Community Reinvestment Act]. The
original purpose of this socialist scheme was to redistribute the wealth without equally distributing the cost.
Thus, the low class was offered wealth in terms of ‘affordable housing’ with no
responsibilities at all to repay its debts and only their future votes were
desired as payment. The credit defaults come from the low class, mostly
Democrats and criminals. We lost 10 trillion dollars in wealth in that scheme.
We are going to lose more as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are insolvent.
Our current Neo-Marxist government now blends fascism with
socialism in an attempt to redistribute
the wealth as we saw in the GM and Chrysler bailouts where bond holders and
stock holders were wipe out and the remains given to the unions while the
management was replaced by orders from the White House. This is the only way
they know how to play the economic game: Grunt and Grab. The Obama
administration sees only wealth transfers as
the way to ‘create’ jobs and that is what they will use. They will recycle TARP
monies and print more money and find ways to tax and intimidate businesses into
hiring more people thus making them inefficient. This comes at a time when
business has barely adjusted to the credit crunches and cut costs and found
ways to be profitable—an insult to the left almost as comparable to the growth
we saw during the Ronald Reagan Era.
So, Obama will:
[1] He will ‘create’ new jobs by taxing energy and health
care by punishing all citizens using the phony pretext that we are saving the
planet from destruction or providing care for all.
[2] He will announce that the government is the ‘employer
of last resort’ [or a paraphrase of this nostrum] and use debt to pay for this.
Our economy will collapse in massive debt.
[3] Based on some phony deficit-neutral mantra, he will
tax everything in sight including
businesses to manufacture phony jobs and expect the ‘rich’ to pay for all that
with massive taxes of all sorts including confiscatory inheritance taxes and
massive health care taxes. Business will shut down because of the extra costs
and oppressive business climate.
All this will drive us further into debt and
make the current 12 trillion dollar national debt look small by comparison.
This is his only known option. He cannot or will not work with business in any
other than the role of Commissar and continue to print money to cover the debt
service. The correct procedure here is
to cut taxes for corporations and aid
business and enhance the tax revenues from the salaries of new workers. This is
called growth and is anathema
to the left.
A lot of Americans are going to get some very expensive
education about credit, government spending and taxation from Obama and they
will not like it. But, they wanted ‘change’ and they are going to get just
that.
rycK
Comments:
ryckki@gmail.com
Copulating with Coprolites: The
Unveiled Mechanism of Governance by Progressive Liberalism in California
The Bell Curve: Intelligence and Class Structure in American Life (ISBN: 0029146739)
by
Herrnstein, Richard J. and Murray,
Charles Free Press of Glencoe , Inc, Old
Tappan, New Jersey, U.S.A., 1994.
“Bear
Stearns made the first public securitization of Community
Reinvestment Act (CRA) loans started in
1997.[6] Editorialists in some American
newspapers[7][8] and US Congressman Ron Paul[9] say the CRA loans were lent to
otherwise un-credit-worthy consumers in the name of ending discrimination,
although an analysis of actual lending patterns does not generally support this
conclusion.
On June 22, 2007,
Bear Stearns pledged a collateralized loan of up to $3.2 billion to "bail
out" one of its funds, the Bear Stearns High-Grade Structured Credit Fund,
while negotiating with other banks to loan money against collateral to another
fund, the Bear Stearns High-Grade Structured Credit Enhanced Leveraged Fund.[13] The funds were invested in thinly
traded collateralized
debt obligations (CDOs)
found to be worth less than their mark-to-market value. Merrill Lynch seized $850 million worth of the
underlying collateral but only was able to auction $100 million of them. The
incident sparked concern of contagion as Bear Stearns might be forced to
liquidate its CDOs, prompting a mark-down of similar assets in other
portfolios.[14][15] Richard
A. Marin, a senior executive at Bear Stearns Asset Management
responsible for the two hedge funds, was replaced on June 29 by Jeffrey
B. Lane, a former Vice Chairman of rival investment bank, Lehman Brothers.[16]
During the
week of July 16, 2007,
Bear Stearns disclosed that the two subprime hedge funds had lost nearly all of
their value amid a rapid decline in the market for subprime mortgages.
Krugman of the NYT Confuses Wealth Transfers with
Job Creation and Calls for Higher Taxes or More Spending