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Krugman Scares Us with His Big Inflation Scare Screed. We Will Rapidly Inflate and He Knows This.


Krugman Scares Us with His Big Inflation Scare Screed. We Will Rapidly Inflate and He Knows This.

 

Abstract: Krugman of the NYT selects narrow facts and assemble an article that denies that we are facing almost certain hyperinflation in the near future. He ignores the comments of the Chinese, Warren Buffett and the UK about the wild deficits and dangers of wanton printing of money and its deleterious effects on our currency and economic future. He places blame for our debts on previous tax cuts and cites trivial countries who have gone through high debt loads and not inflated. He omits any reference to the more famous cases that fell into this trap. Whatever the topic, Krugman always advises more spending and bigger government and today’s screed does not ruin his record on this. He sophomorically parrots FDR with: “the only thing we have to fear is inflation fear itself.” We are spending our way into serfdom and Krugman goes along with this outcome. He would rather see the US crash and the pieces reassembled by socialists or Marxists than watch prosperity again push down his allies into economic and financial obscurity. He blindly sanctions the wild spending of the Obama administration with no regrets.

 

Preamble:

 

The New York Times—aka the Walter Duranty Papers [1]--has a constricted set of political goals for their paper [as long as it lasts as they are close to bankruptcy].  Their mission, and they always accept one, is to find ways to apologize or provide some political  spin for any policy or proposed legislation whatever by the far left no matter its worth, content or viability. Thusly, this paper serves as a beacon that alerts us as to what the sleazy left is focusing on and we can stand advised and ready to confront the current terror.

 

We can always  bet the farm and secure  grand odds from cynics[2] that Paul Krugman will always argue for a tax hikes and massive spending and bigger government[3] [no matter what the issue] and blame Republicans for either precipitating the current crisis or standing in the way or progress by blocking the road to serfdom. This can be easily demonstrated if we pick just any old soiled copy of the New York Times that printed one of his screeds.

 

Today, our esteemed Laureatte will explain to us that we are not heading into massive inflation and risking the viability of our currency and this is just an unjustified fear spread by capitalists.

 

He begins with this:

 

Suddenly it seems as if everyone is talking about inflation. Stern opinion pieces warn that hyperinflation is just around the corner. And markets may be heeding these warnings: Interest rates on long-term government bonds are up, with fear of future inflation one possible reason for the interest-rate spike.”[4]--The Big Inflation Scare By Paul Krugman Op-Ed Columnist

Published: May 28, 2009 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

 

Does he mention that the Brit and Chinese think so too? The Chinese ‘hate us’ for this debasement because inflation will sack their holdings in our bonds. Does he mention that Warren Buffett has flatly stated that our government will have to inflate their way out of debt?? No, he misses these points. He cannot include them as they debase his phony argument that we can spend and spend and rack up debts exceeding our GDP and experience no inflation.

 

Here is what the Chinese say:

 

“Mr Luo, whose English tends toward the colloquial, added: “We hate you guys. Once you start issuing $1 trillion-$2 trillion [$1,000bn-$2,000bn] . . .we know the dollar is going to depreciate, so we hate you guys but there is nothing much we can do.””[5]—wild rant by Luo Ping, a director-general at the China Banking Regulatory Commission [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

 

I thought the haters were only on the capitalist right wing—not in the Marxist camp that provides the vision for left-liberalism.  Here is a salient bit from the Brits:

 

It is unclear why US bond yields have spiked so violently, with spill-over effects on gilts and bunds. One camp of investors is worried that inflation is rearing its ugly head again: others fear a sovereign debt crisis as over-extended states loses their AAA ratings."[6]-- Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

 

And from the Sage of Omaha:

 A country that continuously expands its debt as a percentage of GDP and raises much of the money abroad to finance that, at some point, it’s going to inflate its way out of the burden of that debt,” Buffett said….

“Every country that has denominated its debt in its own currency and has found itself with uncomfortable amounts of debt relative to the rest of the world, in the end they inflate,” Buffett explains. That becomes a tax on everybody that has fixed dollar investments.”[7]--Buffett Sees Massive Inflation to Handle Staggering Debt. Monday, May 4, 2009 By Dan Weil [Emphasis is mine in all quotes]

 

From today[update and revision]:

The bond-market vigilantes are up in arms over the outlook for the federal deficit,” said Edward Yardeni, who coined the term in 1984 to describe investors who protest monetary or fiscal policies they consider inflationary by selling bonds. He now heads Yardeni Research Inc. in Great Neck, New York. “Ten trillion dollars over the next 10 years is just an indication that Washington is really out of control and that there is no fiscal discipline whatsoever.”

What bond investors dread is accelerating inflation after the government and Fed agreed to lend, spend or commit $12.8 trillion to thaw frozen credit markets and snap the longest U.S. economic slump since the 1930s. The central bank also pledged to buy as much as $300 billion of Treasuries and $1.25 trillion of bonds backed by home loans[8]-- Bond Vigilantes Confront Obama as Housing Falters (Update2) By Liz Capo McCormick and Daniel Kruger

Okay, so what does Krugman do to steer around all this economic firepower?

 

But does the big inflation scare make any sense? Basically, no — with one caveat I’ll get to later. And I suspect that the scare is at least partly about politics rather than economics.”-- By Paul Krugman Op-Ed Columnist May 28, 2009

 

So, this prattle by the Chinese, Brits and the sacred Buffet are just ‘politics.’ This is intriguing and needs to be further probed:

 

First things first. It’s important to realize that there’s no hint of inflationary pressures in the economy right now. Consumer prices are lower now than they were a year ago, and wage increases have stalled in the face of high unemployment. Deflation, not inflation, is the clear and present danger.”-- By Paul Krugman Op-Ed Columnist May 28, 2009

 

This is fully true. The fight against deflation, if it is occurring across our economic spectrum is fought by massive infusion of capital into the society. But, if it goes too far…….

 

Now, it’s true that the Fed has taken unprecedented actions lately. More specifically, it has been buying lots of debt both from the government and from the private sector, and paying for these purchases by crediting banks with extra reserves. And in ordinary times, this would be highly inflationary: banks, flush with reserves, would increase loans, which would drive up demand, which would push up prices.”-- By Paul Krugman Op-Ed Columnist May 28, 2009 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes]

 

This is also true.

 

But these aren’t ordinary times. Banks aren’t lending out their extra reserves. They’re just sitting on them — in effect, they’re sending the money right back to the Fed. So the Fed isn’t really printing money after all.”-- By Paul Krugman Op-Ed Columnist May 28, 2009

 

Okay, who financed the Bush bailout of $150 bln in 2008? This money went directly to the public and is not ‘sitting around’ on the shelf. And, we just got another shot of money this week and that, too, may go to retire debt or whatever as the previous stimulus did, but it too enters the financial system and is subject to a multiplier of 10 when it moves thru a dozen banks. That is 250 billion extra dollars and becomes $2.5 trillion real soon. That is then an increase in our currency M2 from $8 trillion to $10.5 and that is inflationary. That is a 31% hike in our money supply and we have much more to come. That spells inflation.

 

Krugman fails to mention this. His notion that the fed money is locked in dormantly at tier-one in capital accounts in our biggest Zombie Banks to give us the snake oil impression that they are solvent is false. That stimulus money is loose and circulating and only high interest rates can scoop it back and truncate the money supply. Several trillion dollars do sit and rot in tier-one accounts that that can be clawed back quickly and not enter the monetary system. That is different. Krugman seems to lump the several kinds of money together and then make generalizations on only one kind. This method is useful in carnival acts, politics and pick pocketing.

 

Back to Krugman and his krugmaniacal apology for our deteriorating currency:

 

Is there a risk that we’ll have inflation after the economy recovers? That’s the claim of those who look at projections that federal debt may rise to more than 100 percent of G.D.P. and say that America will eventually have to inflate away that debt — that is, drive up prices so that the real value of the debt is reduced.”-- By Paul Krugman Op-Ed Columnist May 28, 2009

 

He now diverts the best arguments that derail his phony position with some irrelevant fluff from economic sidelights of history:

 

Over the past two decades, Belgium, Canada and, of course, Japan have all gone through episodes when debt exceeded 100 percent of G.D.P. And the United States itself emerged from World War II with debt exceeding 120 percent of G.D.P. In none of these cases did governments resort to inflation to resolve their problems.”-- By Paul Krugman Op-Ed Columnist May 28, 2009 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes]

 

True, but Japan has been in the economic trash bin for 20 years now for their real estate crash and have never recovered. Their economy is now tanking. Why not tell us about Germany, Brazile, Argentina, Zimbabwe and other states who did print money as we are doing and went broke? Again, Krugman cites and truncates a set of isolated conditions to prove or pressure his point.

 

Here comes the necessary twist to make Krugman the Liberal of the Day:

 

But it’s hard to escape the sense that the current inflation fear-mongering is partly political, coming largely from economists who had no problem with deficits caused by tax cuts but suddenly became fiscal scolds when the government started spending money to rescue the economy. And their goal seems to be to bully the Obama administration into abandoning those rescue efforts.”-- By Paul Krugman Op-Ed Columnist May 28, 2009

 

This means that if Obama cannot spend wildly and get his socialism into place in time he will never get the chance. That is true.

 

Parroting FDR he concludes:

 

Yes, we have a long-run budget problem, and we need to start laying the groundwork for a long-run solution. But when it comes to inflation, the only thing we have to fear is inflation fear itself.” [Emphasis is mine in all quotes]

 

Belgium[9] will have negative growth this year and they still have debt of 80% of GDP. Canada is doing fairly well.[10] But, Canada has had balanced budgets from 2000 to 2008. Could Paul Krugman suggest that we might have balanced budgets?? The last three budgets were supervised and sanctioned by Nancy Pelosi [a.k.a. Spartacus] [11]and she authorized every penny of House appropriations bills. The liberals have driven our massive debt for 3 years now, sanctioned a $780 bln dollar ‘stimulus’ that only bloats government and is talking about another one.  Krugman seems to be unaware of all this and continues to blame tax cuts for our problems. We all can see what high taxes are doing for New York, New Jersey and California and one or more of those places will go bankrupt very soon. The Krugman solution of raising taxes for all occasions is phony. Why does he think people are moving out of these states?

 

Krugman here puts off the inevitable with some sideways comments on minor players in the economic game. He ignores the rise of gold prices and our loss of 1/3 of our federal  tax revenues year to year. Our economy is tanking. What Krugman proposes is to keep on spending and socializing our government and banks to achieve what he thinks will be the socialist solution to our successful capitalism, a form of business and culture that few on the planet can participate in. He is correct in pushing for some government-mandated redistribution of wealth as his constituents, many mired in drug addiction, sloth, reverse racism, sodomy, crime and worse—confined to toxic inner cities, cannot manage to find a dry place to take a decent  dump or find enough food without dumpster diving.

 

The successful economies of the current world are now shunning the dollar if they can [Argentina, Brazile, China, Russia, and India] and are resisting the foolish and frantic method of printing money. Germany and France are in this camp. Japan was too until recently. The Brits know full well that their banking system is collapsing and that this phony notion of ‘quantitative easing’ or printing money willy-nilly is dangerous and puts them on the firm path to hyperinflation.

 

Krugman can advise we take on more debt without mentioning that Obama and his leftists in the House have incurred more debt than all the presidents since Washington and including the colonial period.

 

Krugman has shown us what he is and what he wants. We can use his arguments against him and the left as they are based on fluff, politics and economic hyperbole. Krugman talks about ‘groundwork for a long-term solution’ and offers us nothing on details. To do the opposite of what Krugman advises is probably the best advice for any country in any possible financial state.

 

rycK

 

Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com



 

[1] In honor of that celebrated Communist stooge and liar and winner of the Pulitzer Prize for the NYT. The color RED is used in my essays in honor of Walter Duranty, a saint, if there could be one, in the Marxist Archives of Honor.

[2] Like me.

[4] The Big Inflation Scare By PAUL KRUGMAN OP-ED COLUMNIST

Published: May 28, 2009 http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/29/opinion/29krugman.html?_r=1

 

[6] Bond markets defy Fed as Treasury yields spike. The US Federal Reserve may soon be forced to launch fresh blitz of quantitative easing whatever the consequences for the US dollar, or risk seeing economic recovery snuffed out by the latest surge in long-term borrowing costs. By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard 28 May 2009 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5402260/Bond-markets-defy-Fed-as-Treasury-yields-spike.html

[7] Buffett Sees Massive Inflation to Handle Staggering Debt. Monday, May 4, 2009 2:34 PM By: Dan Weil http://moneynews.newsmax.com/headlines/warren_buffett/2009/05/04/210480.html?s=al&promo_code=7F1D-1

[8] Bond Vigilantes Confront Obama as Housing Falters (Update2) By Liz Capo McCormick and Daniel Kruger http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=akW9GQw.X9KM&refer=worldwide

 

[9] Public debt is more than 80% of GDP. On the positive side, the government succeeded in balancing its budget during the 2000-2008 period, and income distribution is relatively equal. Belgium began circulating the euro currency in January 2002. Economic growth and foreign direct investment dropped in 2008. In 2009 Belgium is likely to have negative growth, growing unemployment, and a 3% budget deficit, stemming from the worldwide banking crisis.

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/be.html#Econ

[10] Canada has enjoyed solid economic growth, and prudent fiscal management has produced consecutive balanced budgets from 1997 to 2007. In 2008, growth slowed sharply as a result of the global economic downturn, US housing slump, plunging auto sector demand, and a drop in world commodity prices. Public finances, too, are set to deteriorate for the first time in a decade. Tight global credit conditions have further restrained business and housing investment, despite the conservative lending practices and strong capitalization that made Canada's major banks among the most stable in the world.

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ca.html#Econ

[11] Pelosi: The New Red Flag Rules of Spartacus.

Thursday, November 09, 2006 10:37 AM

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Is Sotomayor a Lesbian or a Tax Cheat or More? We need to know.

Is Sotomayor a Lesbian or a Tax Cheat or More?  We need to know.

 

Abstract: The political game of vetting and investigating a SCOTUS nominee is now in progress. From the left we learned how to subject nominees to all sorts of questions and bring out ‘testimonials’ and other information in the Clarence Thomas trials. We may need another ‘Anita Hill’ to testify in Congress against her. This is the way the process works now, so let’s get busy and dig and dig and find out who this Sotomayor person is and if she has any warts.  Then the information needs to be put up in lights with documentation and testimonials. We can play the character assignation game too as this is now apparently essential in Washington politics. She has made alarming statements that seem to cast her as some kind of rebellious radical belligerent who would corrupt and poison our judicial system and these need to be inspected closely. Ella es racista? Necesitamos saber más sobre ella.

 

President Obama has finally made his first selection for a nominee for the United States Supreme Court. We now must struggle with the potential politics of diversity, leftist power and activist judges[1] as this process proceeds. This nomination is a welcome prerogative of the Obama administration as they are minority-based and will put person of color in as many places in government as possible. This is the privilege of the winner of a political contest. This will bring ‘change’ in our society and the voters certainly sanctioned this last November. She may be just fine. But, we need to avoid putting some misfit on the High Bench so let us dig for information and find out what we can:

 

We already know this about our new appointee for SCOTUS from her own mouth:

 

I would hope that a wise Latina woman with the richness of her experiences would more often than not reach a better conclusion than a white male who hasn’t lived that life,” said Judge Sotomayor, who is now considered to be near the top of President Obama’s list of potential Supreme Court nominees.”-- A Judge’s View of Judging Is on the Record by Charlie Savage Published: May 14, 2009 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

 

Here is how she views her ethnicity from the bench:

 

…. As National Journal legal analyst Stuart Taylor reported, “Sotomayor also referred to the cardinal duty of judges to be impartial as a mere ‘aspiration because it denies the fact that we are by our experiences making different choices than others.’ And she suggested that ‘inherent physiological or cultural differences’ may help explain why ‘our gender and national origins may and will make a difference in our judging.’” The full speech was reprinted in something called the Berkeley La Raza Law Journal. “La Raza” is Spanish for “The Race.” Imagine if a white male Republican court nominee had published in a law review called “The Race.”[2]-- The Supreme Court high hurdles contest By Michelle Malkin   May 27, 2009 09:33 AM

 

We also know she is a member of La Raza.[3][4] We do know that gay activists are wildly supporting Sotomayor:

 

In a statement issued by the National LGBT Bar Association, the group said Sotomayor “not only meets, but exceeds” the organization's criteria for a nominee.”-- Gay Activists Applaud Sotomayor Nomination. By Carlos Santoscoy MAY 27, 2009[5]

 

La Raza is an Hispanic Supremacist group and she may be therefore connected to the allied La Mecha bunch. [6]They are another group that wants to reconquer much of the US and return it to its Mexican roots and expel Anglos in the process. No wonder she gets so much praise from the radical and criminal ranks of the Hispanics. Many think she would vote for amnesty for illegal aliens in a flash.  Thus, she would be a force for supporting criminal activity mixed with bias and racism. We need to look at this closely.

 

We should object not to gays living their own lifestyles, but we can object to some surreptitious creature that might sneak into the Supreme Court and brings along a hidden agenda for social and judicial activism. This portends that she is possibly just a simple stooge for the radical left and, as such, defiles and soils the mission and history of the High Court.  She also appears to be a hot head or hot dog [she is reported to be nasty and abrasive at the bench] and her legal competence has been questioned.[7] We need to know all about her since we now put our candidates under some kind of political microscope as we found out with the Bork and Thomas cases. Maybe we need another “Anita Hill” to emerge and ‘testify’ about her sexual activities or other unseemly conduct. That is the way politics works now.

 

Nobody seems to know a thing about her tax history.[8] She has an apartment in the West Village of NYC and that is expensive.[9] She probably pays $5000 a month on her rent alone. Her federal salary is not so very high so we need to know how she balances her house budget living in Manhattan:

 

 The Washington Post reports that the 54-year-old Sotomayer[sic]  has a $179,500 yearly salary but

On her financial disclosure report for 2007, she said her only financial holdings were a Citibank checking and savings account, worth $50,000 to $115,000 combined. During the previous four years, the money in the accounts at some points was listed as low as $30,000.”[10]

We need to investigate this person and expose any and all activities in her life as is the contemporary custom in vetting SCOTUS nominees. We learned this process from Ted Kennedy and the mentally unstable Joe Biden[11]—a.k.a. Plugs[12] the Buffoon.[13] This is a route inherited from the liberal Democrats. If she has any warts we need to see them from all angles. We really should avoid having perverts, parasites, racists, bigots and stooges on the courts. They just poison our society.  She may be just some mediocre liberal, but we need to know more.

 

 

And on it goes. Her judgeship may be a mere ‘aspiration as she seems to be the center of some blueprint to corrupt the legal system using identity politics, sleaze and other nefarious tactics. Let us look into this mess with diligence.

 

rycK [a 5th generation Californian in exile]

 

Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com

 



[2] The Supreme Court high hurdles contest

By Michelle Malkin   May 27, 2009 09:33 AM http://michellemalkin.com/2009/05/27/the-supreme-court-high-hurdles-contest/

 

[6] A MEChA (Movimiento Estudiantil Chicano de Aztlan) slogan translates as "For the race everything. For those outside the race, nothing." El Plan de Aztlan, a founding document carried now on many MEChA Internet sites, talks about the "call of our blood" and the need to reclaim the Southwest (Aztlan) from "the occupying forces of the oppressor." As if the Nazi-like call to the power of blood isn't scary enough, Miguel Perez of Cal State-Northridge's MEChA raised the issue of ethnic cleansing. Once Aztlan has been taken over, he said, non-Chicanos "would have to be expelled" and opposition groups quashed "because you have to keep the power."

http://www.usnews.com/usnews/opinion/articles/030915/15john.htm

 

[9] Mankiw's critique is a bizarre on several levels. For one thing, while a $179,000-per-year income is quite a lot wherever one lives, it doesn't go as far in New York City as in almost any other place. State taxes in New York are pretty high for the upper income brackets, and New York City also charges a city tax of 3.648%. As a single filer, Sotomayor's income tax burden, counting her federal nut, is probably something like $65,000.

In addition, New York City is an expensive place to live: particularly on the Island of Manhattan, and even more particularly in the West Village neighborhood where Sotomayor has her apartment. The average price of a two-bedroom rental apartment in a doorman building in Greenwich Villiage[sic] is $5,396 per month, or about $65,000 per year. (Sotomayor, from what I can gather, in fact still rents her space). So considering her tax bill and the cost of her apartment, Sotomayor is down to "only" about $50,000 in disposable income per year. A single person can certainly live very well on that sort of income — even in Manhattan — but would probably not live what we'd ordinarily consider an extravagant lifestyle. It would be quite easy to spend a good chunk of that $50,000 on utilities, transport, groceries, and extra medical care (Sotomayor is diabetic); throw in a couple of nice meals out every month, tickets to a dozen Yankees games each year, and maybe a week's worth of vacation, and you're not going to have a whole heck of a lot left over. And of course, if one is generous with one's friends, or gives money to one's extended family or to charity, the money will go even faster. Sure, it's a pretty full life. But it's not likely that Sotomayor is downing bottles of Cristal and snorting coke in the bathroom every Friday at Hotel Gansevoort, or having four-martini lunches with the Sex and the City girls at Bryant Park. http://gawker.com/5271031/what-is-the-punditry-saying-about-sonia-sotomayor

 

 

[12] This refers to Joe Biden and was heard one night on the Mark Levine show. This refers to the phony forest of spindly white hairs that glows in wispy cylinders in the light and was transplanted from elsewhere on Blowhard Joe’s body to the top of his head. He looked like a porcupine that had an unfortunate encounter with a bottle of peroxide and a low hanging bush.

 

[13] You got it.  It’s time to be patriotic, Kate.  Time to jump in, time to be part of the deal, time to help America out of the rut, and the way to do that is they’re still gonna pay less taxes than they did under Reagan."—Joe Biden, plagiarist and a person who cheated his way through Law School at Syracuse.  This link has Joe talking away on TV: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cX5nlKcTzvU&eurl=http://americansforprosperity.org/index.php?id=6409

 

Joe Biden is a loathsome character and permanent politico who has several emotional disorders, a person who got a neat home from some sweetheart deal with MBNA officials, a person who cheated his way through Syracuse Law School, a braggart and a blow hard.  I am smarter than you” Joe Biden mangles history, explodes in a shower of anger and hatred at the mention of his political opposition and grows on the state of Delaware like some form of tumor. Biden’s son also has some kind of cushy job at about a million dollars at some MBNA affiliate or what not. 

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Little Timmy Geithner Races the Interest Rate Demon around the Financial World. The Demon is Wining.

Little Timmy Geithner Races the Interest Rate Demon around the Financial World. The Demon is Wining.

 

Abstract: U.S. Treasury Secretary Little Timothy Geithner’s plan to keep the yield on 10 year Treasury bonds low has gone gangrene. The Chinese are watching us as they think Treasury is printing money and monetizing the debt thus cheating the Chinese out of the value of their bond holdings. Inflation appears to be looming and this is the usual penalty for too much money being spread around. We are spending and printing our way to financial oblivion and the cracks in this phony facade will start opening soon for all to witness and our financial essence and wealth will gush out leaving us with a worthless currency if we do not watch out what we are doing.  I believe that the far Left want this to happen.

 

We have been inspecting the antics of our elfin being[1] as he juggles several financial hot potatoes in the steamy atmosphere of Washington politics and the relevant question thus becomes: which one will he drop first? I think he will drop our currency in the latrine.

 

Little Timmy’s theme song:

 

“… [the fed people] are very committed to making sure they have the ability to unwind and reverse the exceptional measures they have taken once we have achieved the necessary stability in our financial markets and an economic recovery is back on track."[2]Geithner [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

 

"I am deeply aware of the complexity and importance of that basic task of making sure we are preserving that great asset -- which is the deepest and most liquid markets in the world. And we will work very hard at that." —Geithner

 

If we could beg a question here: Why is the interest rate on the 10 year bond going up when Little Timmy wants it to go down? Isn’t he the Snake Charmer who can make the cobra rise and fall from the aperture in the wicker basket with aural spells from his little flute?

 

For another analysis I choose my favorite international analyst [Ambrose Evans-Pritchard] from the Telegraph in London:

 

Yields on 10-year Treasury bonds have risen relentlessly since March when the Fed first announced its plan to buy $300bn (£188bn) of US government debt directly, a move that briefly forced rates down to nearly 2.5pc, a level thought to be the Fed's implicit target.

Yields have jumped to 3.69pc – after spiking as high as 3.74pc on Wednesday – pushing up the standard 30-year mortgage loan to 5.08pc and lifting the borrowing cost for corporations.”[3]-- Bond markets defy Fed as Treasury yields spike. By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard 28 May 2009

 

We all know, or should know, that the 10-year Treasury bonds actually define the instant cost of capital.  This should be of interest in case capitalism inadvertently survives Obama and his Marxian hordes who believe that we can spend our way to prosperity. Incidentally, these bond yields eventually also directly influence the long bonds and mortgage rates. Not to be so brash or insolent as to mention that the fatal global crash in home prices that precipitated this depression and that the recovery in that global wealth sector depends largely upon new mortgage rates, we seem to be having some problem with the control strings that our little elf uses to push and pull the treasury. Any liberal ought to be able to push on as string or a piece of linguini.

 

The Chinese position:

 

“Mr Luo, whose English tends toward the colloquial, added: “We hate you guys. Once you start issuing $1 trillion-$2 trillion [$1,000bn-$2,000bn] . . .we know the dollar is going to depreciate, so we hate you guys but there is nothing much we can do.””[4]—wild rant by Luo Ping, a director-general at the China Banking Regulatory Commission [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

 

Out of options?

 

“"The Fed is going to have to consider doubling its purchases of Treasuries," said Ashraf Laidi, from CMC Capital Markets.”We could be nearing the end-game for the US dollar but the Fed has little choice at this point. We're in a vicious circle where any policy aimed at supporting the US economy must be at the expense of the dollar."-- Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

 

It is unclear why US bond yields have spiked so violently, with spill-over effects on gilts and bunds. One camp of investors is worried that inflation is rearing its ugly head again: others fear a sovereign debt crisis as over-extended states loses their AAA ratings."-- Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

Maybe this is a Buffet buffeting effect as our Sage of Omaha has divined that our government will “…inflate its way out of the burden of that debt,” Buffett said. [5]

This prompts me to think that Little Timmy Geithner has a novel plan to inflate the dollar, pay off the debt and not raise interest rates. That would be original. With some new and as yet unexplained maneuvers by the Fed and Treasury they might try to satisfy all citizens, and the vigilant world, particularly in Peking, and work a miracle with the cobra and the basket. I happen think Geithner is just lost and frustrated.

 

Maybe somebody can explain all this to me as I seem to have lost my way in the complex economics of 2009.

 

Dallas Fed chief Richard Fisher said his recent trip to Asia was an eye opener. "Chinese government senior officials grilled me about whether or not we are going to monetise the actions of our legislature."-- Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

 

I think Little Timmy is now the leading candidate for the Nobel Prize in Economics if he pulls this trick out of the magical air he seems to be living in.  But, I tend to be a bit stuffy and really want some proof that we can print money and suffer no inflation or debasement of our currency, credit ratings or dignity during this crash into financial oblivion.

 

Where do we get these cretins? How much are these losers in Washington going to cost us?

 

rycK

 

Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com

 



[3] Bond markets defy Fed as Treasury yields spike. The US Federal Reserve may soon be forced to launch fresh blitz of quantitative easing whatever the consequences for the US dollar, or risk seeing economic recovery snuffed out by the latest surge in long-term borrowing costs. By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard 28 May 2009 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5402260/Bond-markets-defy-Fed-as-Treasury-yields-spike.html

[5] Has Buffy the Bozo Been Reading My Blog? Buffett Predicts Inflation—Bernake Does Not.

http://ryckzrantz.blogtownhall.com/2009/05/05/has_buffy_the_bozo_been_reading_my_blog_buffett_predicts_inflation%E2%80%94bernake_does_not.thtml

 

After a testy exchange with Sen. Judd Gregg, who suggested that President Obama’s plans to hike federal spending would only increase the nation’s staggering national debt, Buffett relented by stating that, in the end, the U.S. government simply will do what every other government has done in such circumstances. [Emphasis is mine in all quotes]

A country that continuously expands its debt as a percentage of GDP and raises much of the money abroad to finance that, at some point, it’s going to inflate its way out of the burden of that debt,” Buffett said.

Experience proves that, he points out.”

 

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California Begs for Alms and Descends into Whoredom. The Inferno is at Hand.

California Begs for Alms and Descends into Whoredom. The Inferno is at Hand.

 

Abstract: California now grovels like a diseased hooker in need of a quick fix in a frantic quest for money from anywhere and anywhere. The social structure of California has been debauched and their skill and reputation for handling finances are the jokes of the universe. Besotted in a drug infested inferno with hoards of swarming illegal aliens milking every possible benefit they have hit the very bottom of the Pit. They now beg for a co-sucker to partner with them in their misery so they can borrow even more money while they have no plans to cut spending—the financial problem that initiated this mess. Only a fiscal earthquake can jolt these lunatics back into financial reality. That disaster will happen soon.

 

We all know that California is finished as a society at least in economic terms.[1][2] They are no better off in the social arena.[3]  Polluted with drug-crazed Marxian puppets the Sacramento Legislature cannot seem to find ways to halt their psychotic spending sprees that will sink the state in debt for decades. We know that the Golden State has had some nasty encounters with financial reality in past years[4], but now they face The Abyss and what is their plan? Beg for money from somewhere else—any where!!

 

Here is a snapshot of the current maudlin circus act in full bloom:

 

In a move with only one modern-day precedent, California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger and Democratic lawmakers are pressing the Obama administration and members of Congress for federal loan guarantees to help the state out of a desperate, multibillion-dollar jam.”[5]-- Calif. wants federal government to back its loans May 27, 2009 by Judy Lin

 

Wasn’t this predictable?? The ‘experts,’ like Paul Krugman of the Walter Duranty Papers [6] tells us that the constitutional limits to taxation in California are the problem and we need to raise taxes![7] Higher taxes will bring us prosperity. But, when did this leftist puppet ever suggest anything other than more taxes and bigger government for any problem? Never.

 

So, the grubby quest for more funds morphs into a sickening spectacle of tears, threats and howls that match elements of the Divine Comedy[8]. We have passed the first two cantos [first was the drug/political culture and the second canto was the uncontrolled social spending] in this epic and, now having passed Purgatorio, we enter the Inferno. We have to acknowledge that Paradiso is lost forever in a social swamp infested with sloth, sodomy and drug addiction. This dismal failure was predictable and is actually a desirable outcome of the elitists of the Left.[9] But, not to suggest that they have no designs on the wealth of others, as the rest of us are their targets, we must study this nonsense:

 

California is not asking for cash, like the tens of billions given to AIG, General Motors or Morgan Stanley. (MS) Instead, the state with the worst credit rating in the nation is asking that Washington act as a sort of co-signer on the state's borrowing, to be backed up with money from the Troubled Asset Relief Program.”-- Judy Lin [Emphasis is mine in all quotes. All quotes in this blog reference the Judy Lin article unless stated otherwise.]

 

This is like “sort of “selling your little sister into slavery so you can keep your sick mother fixed up with the latest in designer drugs and living in the trendy new  green ambience replete with some expensive carbon cap receipts and weekly trips to Mexicali.  I am sure the rest of us will be pleased to subsidize Calif0rnia’s plunge into the financial maelstrom for yet another year. It will be ‘temporary’ we can be assured and we can believe in this plea and its outcome given California’s financial histories of the past few decadent decades. Sure.

 

The justification:

 

“"There's simply no better stimulus than guaranteeing state and local bonds, particularly those that are being used to get through the crisis and avoid layoffs," said Rep. Brad Sherman, one of 15 Democrats in California's House delegation who signed a letter earlier this month asking for the federal loan guaranty.””—quote from Rep. Brad Sherman  

 

Let us pause and ask: who caused the crisis and when will it end??

 

“"We are not asking for a bailout," said state Assembly Speaker Karen Bass, a Los Angeles Democrat. "We're asking for the federal government to step in where commercial banks can't this year because of the crisis within the financial industry.””—quote from Assembly Speaker Karen Bass

 

When will it end Karen?? How much do you need? Why is your credit rating down there among the cockroaches?

 

“"I think if the federal government can go to the aid of major financial institutions, particularly when state and local governments face short-term liquidity issues, I think helping them out is very relevant," Frank said.”-- Barney Frank [Backside Barney[10]]

 

Short-term?? Liquidity?

 

From a previous blog on this issue:

They have a $104.3 billion budget with a $ 15.2 billion deficit and $7 billion in spending cuts.

Having passed high school in that state I am at a loss to see what the problem is. In a progressive society, this amounts to only a $ 7.2 billion dollar deficit and the unreasonable and antisocial law that prevents the state from deviating from a balanced budget with no more barrowing is trivial.[11]--California Crumbles as Paralyzed Politicos Pass Some Phony Budget: Arnold Will Veto This Wreckage by rycK.  Sep 17, 2008. [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

Their deficits then ballooned to 42 billons at the end of 2008 and now it is climbing past 22 billions this year. I am sure we can think of this process as short-term using Barney Logic. But, let us look ahead and ask, politely, what is the plan to balance the budget for 2010??

 

They are cutting?

 

California already has cut $15 billion and raised taxes by nearly $13 billion this year. Schwarzenegger has proposed cutting nearly $20 billion more, including eliminating California's welfare-to-work program and getting rid of health insurance for 930,000 poor children

 

The prediction from an unbiased observer:

 

“California is just as likely to repay its loans, said Matt Fabian, a bond analyst at Municipal Market Advisors, based in Concord, Mass. He and others noted that the state has never been late on a payment, and is always collecting revenue and has the option of raising taxes.”

 

"California's not going to default," Fabian said”

 

This is merely half a thought Matty! What they are asking for is a co-signer or co-sucker or, in San Francisco parlance a sugar daddy. [Massachusetts is also going bankrupt so he needs a good storyline when the Boston liberals come to him for alms. He can huddle with his counterparts in New Jersey, Michigan and Maryland as well.]

 

The missing link here, disguised as some kind of algebraic solution to achieving a target number is to think about the colossal tax hikes they are implementing and then ask: do massive tax hikes drive down tax revenues? Oh, yes they do. So, we cannot just pluck out another 20 bln in taxes from the greedy capitalists because such people will get fed up and leave the state or go out of business and unemployment will soar even higher. Extending their feverish logic here we can demonstrate that a tax rate above 100% would create a new form of prosperity.

 

There is no end to this cycle of spending and bawling and begging for alms. California has washed out its social resources, trashed its future in a poisonous wasteland of illegal aliens, drugs, union overlords and sloth and becomes not a state but a malignant piece of social leprosy that threatens to infect the rest of us. If the fed co-suckers on this loan package it will just metastasize to a bigger tumor next year. Like the addicts they are, the left-liberals and psychotic radicals in that state will crawl back to the taxpayers and grope wildly for anything dumpster prize they can get. They will NOT cut spending in any meaningful or financially responsible manner. These fools spend 40 billions on ‘education’ and have the 47th worst educational system in America. Raising taxes on everything in sight will just push up the cost of everything that California sells or offers and that will cause the resident politicians to look elsewhere for finances for their debauches. Now, they want to grow and sell dope. What is next? Slavery? Child porn? It is too bad they cannot print their own money.

 

California will have Somalia’s social structure and Zimbabwe’s financial success in the near future.

 

This is hopeless. Move out!

 

rycK [a 5th generation Californian in exile]

 

Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com



[5]  California  wants federal government to back its loans May 27, 2009 by Judy Lin http://apnews.myway.com/article/20090527/D98EPK2O1.html

 

 

[6] In honor of that celebrated Communist stooge and liar and winner of the Pulitzer Prize for the NYT. The color RED is used in my essays in honor of Walter Duranty, a saint, if there could be one, in the Marxist Archives of Honor.

[10] Backside Barney or”I think my bunny ought to be publicly financed.” Would you like to rub my bunny? Backside Barney Announces More Taxes and Spending! What Else?

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/10/21/backside_barney_announces_more_taxes_and_spending!_what_else.thtml

 

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A Bigot is Chosen for the Supremes. Liberalism Celebrates!

A Bigot is Chosen for the Supremes. Liberalism Celebrates!

 

President Obama has finally made his first selection for a nominee for the United States Supreme Court. We now must struggle with the politics of diversity, leftist power and activist judges as this process proceeds. This nomination is a welcome prerogative of the Obama administration as they are minority-based and will put person of color in as many places in government as possible. This is the privilege of the winner of a political contest. This will bring ‘change’ in our society and the voters certainly sanctioned this last November.

 

Here is a quote from our new appointee for SCOTUS:

 

I would hope that a wise Latina woman with the richness of her experiences would more often than not reach a better conclusion than a white male who hasn’t lived that life,” said Judge Sotomayor, who is now considered to be near the top of President Obama’s list of potential Supreme Court nominees.”-- A Judge’s View of Judging Is on the Record by Charlie Savage Published: May 14, 2009 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

 

How about this as a reply?

 

I would hope that a wise Anglo male with the richness of his experiences would more often than not reach a better conclusion than a Hispanic  woman  who hasn’t lived that life,…”—rycK in a hypothetical response to  Sotomayor’s comment.

 

By merely changing places with the author of this bigoted statement, we can test the liberals on their phony concept of diversity. This hypothetical response that exactly switches ethnic identities and gender with the speaker of this nonsense is not going to be accepted as politically correct. The transition is not politically equal. There is no level playing field anymore—there is just hate and leftist bias and the urge to tax white people to ameliorate the rage and actions of the past.  That is good leftist politics.

 

Diversity here means that they are free to discriminate against white males and that this is a one-sided argument that has been settled. Obama has already demonstrated his ideological racism[1] in his books and his involvement with Jeremiah Wright and other racists.  We must now continue to live with stuff like this:

 

A quote by Kamau Kambon “[blacks must]…exterminate white people off the face of the planet.” [2] [The New York Times did not comment on this guy.]

 

Senator Barack Obama told us about the typical white person’ and denigrates whites[3] for clinging to their guns and religion’ and escapes any accusations of overt racism by the left. Obama is an ideological racist, a bigot, an arrogant elitist and a racism enabler and all this welcomed by the rabid left as they grunt and grab at the tax base. He can listen to the rabid racist howls of Jeremiah Wright and see nothing out of the ordinary.  He can explain all this. He cannot disown his pastor or church he said. Then, he did.[4]

 

Nothing will change and the racial and ethnic polarization will only grow worse. The sad fact is that because of cognitive skill differentials [The Bell Curve[5][6][7]] certain minorities will, on average, not be able to compete effectively in our society so we can expect more ‘affirmative action[8]’ programs from our government. Other minorities will excel. We might even hear that illegal aliens were ‘exploited and abused’ and now deserve some new affirmative action programs provided they will vote with the Democrats. The standardized tests will be outlawed or minimized as they exclude certain minorities by test scores. We saw that in the New Haven Fireman case[9] where, strangely, our nominee flatly slapped down their case. [10] No blacks could pass the test so the levers of reverse racism had to be pushed and Sonia Sotomayor did her part.

 

We expected this when both Bushes screwed up the party and McCain tried to push his Rockefeller Republican theories upon us. This is just an ongoing war by the usual political means. So what we have to do is:

 

[1] Watch your spending and align your purchases with conservative political ideas in mind.

[2] Be careful who you hire and who you fire in business.  Make political considerations in all business plans and agreements. Be sure to include the new higher taxes and other political burdens in your corporate business plans.

[3] Minimize your exposure to taxes. Think global for your investments as many emerging countries will do better that the US considering the green revolution carbon taxes, high taxes and inefficient government we have. Consider gold.

[4] Avoid buying a Detroit automobile or any other business product controlled or nationalized by the government.

[5] Be sure to vote appropriately. Vote in the ideological sense-not for anyone based on personalities or good looks. We cannot change any of this with Democrats in power.

 

And on it goes

 

rycK [a 5th generation Californian in exile]

 

Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com

 

 

 



[2] http://www.newsobserver.com/news/story/2822385p-9271047c.html. http://tabletalk.salon.com/webx?13@378.YFEia0Fw7g0.7@.773b558f/368. “a former instructor at N.C. State University, who said blacks must "exterminate white people off the face of the planet."

 

Kamau Kambon, an author who taught in NCSU's Africana Studies program as recently as last spring, made the comments Oct. 14 during a conference at Howard University in Washington. The conference was televised nationally by C-SPAN, and bloggers picked up on the comments immediately.”

 

[3] Senator Obama said:

You go into these small towns in Pennsylvania and, like a lot of small towns in the Midwest, the jobs have been gone now for 25 years and nothing's replaced them. And they fell through the Clinton Administration, and the Bush Administration, and each successive administration has said that somehow these communities are gonna regenerate and they have not."

 

"And it's not surprising then they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations." http://www.cbn.com/CBNnews/356191.aspx

 

[5] The Bell Curve: Intelligence and Class Structure in American Life (ISBN: 0029146739)

by Herrnstein, Richard J. and  Murray, Charles  Free Press of Glencoe , Inc, Old Tappan, New Jersey, U.S.A., 1994.

[6] Echoes from the Babbling Brooks Envision a New Conservatism. The New York Times Advises Us on Society, as Usual: Higher Taxes

Posted by rycK on Saturday, February 16, 2008 10:37:49 AM

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/02/16/echoes_from_the_babbling_brooks_envision_a_new_conservatism_the_new_york_times_advises_us_on_society,_as_usual_higher_taxes.thtml

 

[8] Reverse racism.

[10]At issue is the action of New Haven, Conn., city officials who threw out a promotion exam because no African-Americans and only two Hispanic firefighters were likely to be made lieutenants or captains based on the results.

Following their decision supporting the city, Sotomayor and her two fellow judges faced criticism from their conservative colleagues on the 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in New York for declining to issue a detailed ruling
http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/nationworld/politics/wire/sns-ap-us-sotomayor-firefighters,0,4372856.story

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Krugman Talks of Paralysis in California. He Really Means Tax Hike Paralysis.

Krugman Talks of Paralysis in California. He Really Means Tax Hike Paralysis.

 

Abstract: Krugman of the NYT displays his fear that the looming ‘California Effect’ may actually solve some budgetary problems by the laying off of phony and superfluous jobholders in the various governments  and forcing illegal aliens to go without healthcare thus forcing them to  slink back across the borders. They may not get their bailout monies that would allow them to spend and spend and spend. The eternal quest for taxes is paramount here and is duly acknowledged in this current propaganda piece by our esteemed author that the unrestrained  ability to tax and spend may be in jeopardy. He also fears that this may spread to most of the rest of the US thus crushing the socialist dream starting in 2010.

 

Preamble:

 

The New York Times—aka the Walter Duranty Papers [1]--has a narrow set of political goals for their paper [as long as it lasts as they are close to bankruptcy] and this slender list consists of: [1] apologizing for Communism, [2] propping up frauds and foaming losers like Al Gore [the new Lysenko[2]  as 21,000 of us, all scientists refute this crap.[3][4]] and his phony EcoNazism[5] or [3] celebrating AIDS and [4] hatching new lies about economics so as to engorge leftist government with honest taxpayer’s money.  Today, we revisit the tautological ensemble of emotional jibes and wishful thoughts on the sour outlook for the financial future of California. Krugman, as always, suggests more and more taxes.

 

We can bet the farm and get great odds from cynics[6] that Paul Krugman will always argue for a tax hike [no matter what the issue] and blame Republicans. This can be easily proved if we pick just any old soiled copy of the New York Times that prints one of his screeds. I cannot locate a single article of his in the Walter Duranty Hall of Fame that talks about tax cuts in other than a desultory manner.  He honks and toots big government, big spending and big taxes in nearly every paragraph. So, starting with a given, cast in solid stone, we know that he is going to suggest more ways to grunt and grab out money in not only the socially desecrated Golden State but also our federal government. 

 

So, we will look for a bit of substance on this one and see if our esteemed Nobel Laureate deviates from his stogy position of emotion and socialistic tendencies.

 

California, it has long been claimed, is where the future happens first. But is that still true? If it is, God help America.”[7]-- State of Paralysis by Paul Krugman Op-Ed Columnist

Published: May 24, 2009 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes]

 

Here is a not-so-veiled plea for money for the US taxpayers to bail out California. We wonder where blame will be placed on this issue? The fed may not bail out CA. [8] This is not the kind of news a socialist likes to read.

 

What’s really alarming about California, however, is the political system’s inability to rise to the occasion.”—Krugman May 24, 2009

 

Here is the catch, translated by omitting the phallic innuendo: It is the inability to wildly tax that bothers the sordid left. Here, the sickly nostrum that taxation can bring wealth and prosperity to some place like California is touted and tooted even though high taxation has ruined New York State, New Jersey and Maryland who have no such constraints on taxation as California’s Prop 13. We can wonder why there is a difference. Why is New York in trouble? Why not just hike taxes?? California just rejected a load of phony tax issues.[9] Hopefully, New York will double or triple its taxes and show us just how this trick works.

 

California has immense human and financial resources. It should not be in fiscal crisis; it should not be on the verge of cutting essential public services and denying health coverage to almost a million children. But it is — and you have to wonder if California’s political paralysis foreshadows the future of the nation as a whole.”--Krugman May 24, 2009

 

Here, fear is implanted in the hearts and other organs of the readers with the implication that if we cannot hike taxes we will crash as a society. Conveniently missing, as always in Krugman’s little propaganda pieces, is the central issue of  debt burden, exacerbated, lately, by  the looming AAA bond rating of the US which now is in jeopardy of being downgraded to junk status[10] and  his little piece also lacks some reasonable explanation in economic terms of just how we pay off that debt.[11] Here, we see the mirror image of Krugman in the faces and mentality of the Sacramento parasites that squat upon the legislative seats in a fog of marijuana fumes and groan for more taxes. Spending is not mentioned?

 

The blame is placed: “The seeds of California’s current crisis were planted more than 30 years ago, when voters overwhelmingly passed Proposition 13,…”-- Krugman May 24, 2009

 

The lament:

 

Even more important, however, Proposition 13 made it extremely hard to raise taxes, even in emergencies: no state tax rate may be increased without a two-thirds majority in both houses of the State Legislature. And this provision has interacted disastrously with state political trends.”-- Krugman May 24, 2009

 

Will the same thing happen to the nation as a whole?”-- Krugman May 24, 2009

 

We should hope so. California is burdened by a wild pack of drug addicts and perverts who haunt the Assembly. It is also besotted by some 5-10 million illegal aliens who vote and mooch off the health care system and crime runs rampant in what were formally known as cities with crack dealers and other vermin. California is now cutting health care for illegal aliens and the liberals are starting to howl.[12] California is paying more than 10.5 billion per year to their aliens.[13]

 

We should not forget that the parasites who commit numerous crimes to get here and get jobs and then not pay state and federal taxes are a great asset to Democrats as they can vote in California. They also can swell and bloat the census rolls and expand California’s number of representatives to the House. This is all good liberal politics.

 

Now, we get to the debt question!

 

Last week Bill Gross of Pimco, the giant bond fund, warned that the U.S. government may lose its AAA debt rating in a few years, thanks to the trillions it’s spending to rescue the economy and the banks. Is that a real possibility?”

 

“Well, in a rational world Mr. Gross’s warning would make no sense. America’s projected deficits may sound large, yet it would take only a modest tax increase to cover the expected rise in interest payments — and right now American taxes are well below those in most other wealthy countries. The fiscal consequences of the current crisis, in other words, should be manageable.”—who else?

 

Here we have it. In a ‘rational world’ only the interest need be addressed and we can, and are now, just printing money to pay for that.  What Krugman is alluding to here is places like Sweden, shining examples of socialism [but they lost their AAA rating in about 1990 didn’t they? So did Canada!!] who has some 70% marginal tax rates. That means we could suck out maybe another 5-7 trillion dollars in taxes to match the Peace- loving Swedes.[14] Our currency is in severe danger.[15]

 

Well, why not just raise taxes?? That is always the leftist solution.

 

To be blunt: recent events suggest that the Republican Party has been driven mad by lack of power. The few remaining moderates have been defeated, have fled, or are being driven out. What’s left is a party whose national committee has just passed a resolution solemnly declaring that Democrats are “dedicated to restructuring American society along socialist ideals,” and released a video comparing Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi to Puzzy Galore.”-- Krugman May 24, 2009

 

Apparently the Democrats were calm and collected as they railed against Bush for 8 years. No spite here? Plugs[16] the Buffoon[17]never got mad!

 

But the California precedent still has me rattled. Who would have thought that America’s largest state, a state whose economy is larger than that of all but a few nations, could so easily become a banana republic.”

 

I compared Nancy Pelosi to Spartacus [18][in honor of the Marxist heroine Rosa Luxemburg] the former chair of the Marxist Progressive Caucus[19] or Congress' Red Army caucus[20] who, incidentally, personally approved the spending of every dime in the last three budgets. We must blame Bush for the spending! We must also blame Bush for an ‘illegal war[21]’ and torture.[22] The Republicans are off base on this one. Pelosi is a vieille sorcière vilaine sans talents[23]—she has none of the admirable attributes of Ms. Galore real or imaginary.

 

This prattle is all preemptory. What Krugman fears is the coming backlash against Obama and his socialist hordes that are on some wild spending binge and will certainly debase our currency before his term is up. 2010 marks a milestone where the voters who ‘wanted change’ approve or disapprove of this leftist parasite. Our unemployment level may exceed 15% by election time in 2010 and the Krugmaniacal fear that Republicans may grab control of either the House or the Senate [or both] fevers his little mind.

 

Obama cannot continue to blame Bush or say he ‘inherited the problem’ for very long. His promises to claw back 3 million jobs and his fine work in destroying Detroit and driving away bondholders will be remembered. He now props up some 19 Zombie Banks[24] that have no substance other than some TARP money posted magically on their balance sheets to give us the illusion that they are solvent. He will be held responsible for his promises by independents sometime in the future so he has to have something to show other than failure. He is stuck in some kind of campaign mode and has shown nothing of substance in leadership. The independents voted in this turkey.

 

The economy is in a mess and our debt level is crushing the society. Perhaps we can take a lesson from California or the UK, or both, as they will show us some new tricks in debt management before long.  If the feds do not bail out CA, then the spectacle will unfold and the gratuitous jobs held by dozens of thousands of leftists in California will be lost. That will balance the budget. [25]If a few million illegal aliens slink back across the border then we can look at the cost savings of that issue.

 

If they cut phony jobs and kick out some political parasites in California and they manage to return to some form of financial normalcy then this becomes a threat to the left.  Californians can achieve great things if they can kick several drooling monkeys off their backs.

 

We shall see soon.

 

rycK [a 5th generation Californian in exile]

 

Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com

 



 

[1] In honor of that celebrated Communist stooge and liar and winner of the Pulitzer Prize for the NYT. The color RED is used in my essays in honor of Walter Duranty, a saint, if there could be one, in the Marxist Archives of Honor.

 

[2] The EcoNazis and Reality: Klaus Offers to Debate Al Gore.

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/05/29/the_econazis_and_reality_klaus_offers_to_debate_al_gore.thtml

 

Al Gore Acts Like a Ghoul as He Explains Away Tragedy for Profit

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/05/07/al_gore_acts_like_a_ghoul_as_he_explains_away_tragedy_for_profit.thtml

 

The Blow: All Atmospherics, No Climate. The Facts: None

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/04/19/the_blow_all_atmospherics,_no_climate_the_facts_none.thtml

 

There Is No End To The Tax-Whoring By Climate Control Lunatics.

Posted by rycK on Friday, April 04, 2008 10:43:11 AM

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/04/04/there_is_no_end_to_the_tax-whoring_by_climate_control_lunatics.thtml

 

Trolling for Stooges: The New York Times Endorses Carbon Baloney Auctions

Posted by rycK on Saturday, March 15, 2008 11:57:57 AM

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/03/15/trolling_for_stooges_the_new_york_times_endorses_carbon_baloney_auctions.thtml

 

Can the Global Warming Zombies Admit they look like Fools Yet??

Posted by rycK on Thursday, February 28, 2008 4:49:57 PM

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/02/28/can_the_global_warming_zombies_admit_they_look_like_fools_yet.thtml

 

An Open Letter about the Final Solution to Global Warming and How to Save California from Burning.  Sunday, February 10, 2008 11:46 AM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/c779aad4-14b7-4ba9-a414-43e5c8cde7c8

 

The Biggest Phony Tax Gouge in the history of the Universe: The Clintons and the UN Needs Your Money.  Thursday, January 31, 2008 12:21 PM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/a63bc831-efec-4cb7-ba1b-32198a650dab

 

 

Fat Albert Waddles Off To Bark His Global Warming Follies As The Russians Buy Furs.

Thursday, January 03, 2008 3:01 PM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/30ecc2d0-4fbd-4f44-af13-b823625e0d9a

Quack Science, Global Warming and the Wild Flight from Reason: Is Al Gore our New Lysenko?

Friday, December 21, 2007 12:04 PM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/7063dcde-b734-46bb-afa7-e2dbc26930fa

 

The Third World Gets a Chance for a Massive Global Tax from the US.

Saturday, December 15, 2007 12:37 PM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/fc95a801-ec40-4bc1-b215-7459f65d25a4

 

 

[6] Like me.

[7] State of Paralysis by Paul Krugman Op-Ed Columnist

Published: May 24, 2009 http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/25/opinion/25krugman.html?_r=1 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes]

 

[14] Marxists who greedily savor the rewards from the sale of explosives and the invested proceeds from 175 continuous years of ‘neutrality’ while selling guns to all belligerents in numerous wars. They were always comfortable with Tojo, Hitler, Franco, Mussolini, Stalin, FDR, Shaw of Iran, Castro, Ho, Mao and Churchill as long as hard money was placed on the drum.

[16] This refers to Joe Biden and was heard one night on the Mark Levine show. This refers to the phony forest of spindly white hairs that glows in wispy cylinders in the light and was transplanted from elsewhere on Blowhard Joe’s body to the top of his head. He looked like a porcupine that had an unfortunate encounter with a bottle of peroxide and a low hanging bush.

 

[17] You got it.  It’s time to be patriotic, Kate.  Time to jump in, time to be part of the deal, time to help America out of the rut, and the way to do that is they’re still gonna pay less taxes than they did under Reagan."—Joe Biden, plagiarist and a person who cheated his way through Law School at Syracuse.  This link has Joe talking away on TV: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cX5nlKcTzvU&eurl=http://americansforprosperity.org/index.php?id=6409

 

Joe Biden is a loathsome character and permanent politico who has several emotional disorders, a person who got a neat home from some sweetheart deal with MBNA officials, a person who cheated his way through Syracuse Law School, a braggart and a blow hard.  I am smarter than you” Joe Biden mangles history, explodes in a shower of anger and hatred at the mention of his political opposition and grows on the state of Delaware like some form of tumor. Biden’s son also has some kind of cushy job at about a million dollars at some MBNA affiliate or what not.

[18] Pelosi: The New Red Flag Rules of Spartacus.

Thursday, November 09, 2006 10:37 AM

[19] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Congressional_Progressive_Caucus#Ideology .

“An array of national progressive organizations will work to support the efforts of the caucus, including the Institute for Policy Studies, The Nation Magazine, Moveon.org, National Priorities Project, Jobs with Justice Campaign, Peace Action, Americans for Democratic Action, and Progressive Democrats of America. Also co-sponsoring the kickoff event were the NAACP, ACLU, Progressive Majority, League of United Latin American Citizens, Rainbow/Push Coalition, National Council of La Raza, Hip Hop Caucus, Human Rights Campaign, Association of Farmworker Opportunity Programs, and the National Hip Hop Political Convention. The CPC has long maintained cordial ties with the Democratic Socialists of America, which hosted its website during the 1990s.”

 

[20] Congress' Red Army caucus. Here was their charter in 1998: Our purpose is to present thoughtful, practical solutions to the economic and social problems facing America," says its statement of purpose. "Our people-based agenda extends from job creation to job training, to economic conversion, to single payer health-care reform, to adequate funding for the AIDS crisis, to environmental reform and to women's rights. "Now that the Cold War is over, this nation's budget and overall priorities must reflect that reality. We support further cuts in outdated and unnecessary military spending, a more progressive tax system in which wealthy taxpayers and corporations contribute their fair share, and a substantial increase in social programs designed to meet the needs of low-and-middle-income American families. We believe that these goals fit within an overall commitment to deficit reduction." http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=14542

 

[21] Somehow, Bosnia, WW1 and WW2 were ‘legal’.

[22]  Whatever this word means.

[23] An ugly hag with no talent.

[25] A process known as spending cuts. 

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Colin Powell Belongs in the Party of Democrats

Colin Powell Belongs in the Party of Democrats

 

As a Democrat, but not exactly a loyal one[1]--although I was during the JFK Era, I can see that we desperately need another ideological bootlicker with tassels and glitter who can cause problems in the Republican camp. I see that Colin Powell can fulfill that mission. Powell is a phony.[2] But, he can serve as a useful idiot in his current place for certain political essays for the radical left. [3]

 

Powell’s ‘record’ is not very impressive:

 

[a] He  began as just another ordinary ROTC flunky from a nowhere college with poor grades. He did not emerge with honor from VMI or one of the military academies such as West Point. Therefore, his training was slight and sloppy. There are sound reasons why military academies produce fine soldiers. They filter out losers, wimps and cowards and only promote the finest and most honorable. It takes years of loyal obedience and hard work and attention to detail to become a general officer. Affirmative action politics and political actions only reward losers if they push aside more qualified candidates. He could not get his promotions honestly. He is a gold brick.

 

[b] His tours in Viet Nam consisted of valiantly stepping on a pungi stake in the bush and, while recuperating for several dozen years from this life-threatening episode, and in his first political assignment he wrote: “"In direct refutation of this portrayal is the fact that relations between American soldiers and the Vietnamese people are excellent." [4] He wrote this while assigned to the unit that caused the so-called My Lai Incident. He was apparently ‘playing the game’ here but on the wrong side. He could have denounced our soldiers as baby killers and he might have been made a 10 Star Field Marshal on the spot.  He spent the rest of his long and expensive career on ‘staff” duties whatever that means. He is an insubordinate, churlish, opportunistic paper pusher.

 

[c] Powell’s only display of courage was scurrying out of crashed helicopter and helping to rescue some of his comrades. Apart from the gratuitous medals that gushed forth from the moon and stars upon this incident, he was a paper pusher and politico the rest of his life.

 

[d] He used some kind of political influence[5] to get into Nixon’s Administration and later on Ronald Reagan’s staff. I suppose a black Republican was so novel that the Republicans could not resist this novel political vector. He is pro affirmative action, predictably, as that is all that got him into the military as an officer. He is pro ‘choice[6]’ on abortion and favors gun control as would any pedestrian grade leftist. He defends homosexuals in the military as he somehow pushed through the military's Don't ask, don't tell policy into full force thus collecting points with the gay community. He was passed over by his superiors for ‘being average[7]’ He is not even average. He doesn’t have the attributes to be an officer in the military arena. He does have the appropriate political skills however.

 

[e] He has a foul mouth and is prone to divisive internal infighting and insubordination as he stated “…[ in a conversation with British Foreign Secretary, Jack Straw,] he reportedly referred to neoconservatives within the Bush administration as "f**king crazies.[8] These people were presumably on the same team. Powell was obviously on a different team—the enemy team.

 

[f] He stated:  "The world is beginning to doubt the moral basis of our fight against terrorism."[9]

 

[g] But, the phoniest part of his pseudo military mystique is the hokum and claptrap about the infamous Powell Doctrine:[10]

 

The Powell Doctrine states that a list of questions all have to be answered affirmatively before military action is taken by the United States:

 

[1] Is a vital national security interest threatened?

 

[2] Do we have a clear attainable objective?

 

[3] Have the risks and costs been fully and frankly analyzed?

 

[4] Have all other non-violent policy means been fully exhausted?

 

[5] Is there a plausible exit strategy to avoid endless entanglement?

 

[6] Have the consequences of our action been fully considered?

 

[7] Is the action supported by the American people?

 

[8] Do we have genuine broad international support?

 

Let’s answer some of his questions!

 

It is amusing that the answers to his questions [1-5] would preclude our involvement in the Revolutionary War, our Civil War, WW1,2, Korea and Viet Nam and even his own war in Iraq. What was our objective in World War 1? What was our exit strategy? What “non-violent policy options were fully exhausted in World War 2?

 

This strange doctrinal notion appears to suggest that you can put an accountant on to the war scene like our famous hokum-and-blow artist Robert S.  McNamara and ask him to crank out some numbers that promise a reasonable risk/benefit analysis is pure sophistry. Thusly, we can win a war with some computer simulations on body count and such.  LBJ fired that bozo. Bush should have fired Powell.

 

Question [5] offers us the opportunity to talk about the  hilarious examples of the Philippine Islands in the Spanish American War, parts of Cuba and Puerto Rico,  and a mere 5-6 decades as a stagnant and expensive  occupational force in Germany and Japan along with  other follies. Where was our exit strategy? Why are we still in Germany and Japan? Did Hitler get away and remains hidden? Can we give back Puerto Rico yet?

 

Question [6] makes us ask why FDR risked our economy with another depression. Oh! For socialism—that makes sense.

 

Question [7] must be answered a resounding ‘no’ if we look at the very unpopular War with Mexico, Viet Nam and possibly Korea and certainly Iraq. There is no “fully supported war” on record by our people including our revolutionary war. This unsophisticated statement promises power to the pacifist movement, an important wing of the leftist Democrats.

 

Powell spent the last few years as a dry gulcher in direct support of the liberals. He is credited with: “Powell further questioned McCain's judgment in appointing Sarah Palin as the vice presidential candidate, stating that despite the fact that she is admired, "now that we have had a chance to watch her for some seven weeks, I don't believe she's ready to be president of the United States, which is the job of the vice president." This is amusing as we can not find any complaints from him about Plugs the Buffoon[11] who is now some kind of gaff-launching ‘VP’ lounging around in the Obama tent. As a Democrat he is beyond the reach of Colin’s acid tongue.  Sarah Palin suddenly loomed as a tremendous threat to O’Bozo and need to be put down by all hands. Powell jumped in to denigrate her as per command by his superiors in the Party of Democrats. She electrified the Republican Party and is now a shining star in that constellation. She will be back.

 

Colin Powell is a churlish opportunist and a closet racist who built his career by milking affirmative action policies, bawling and whining when he could not make the next grade and then by seeking political help  to get his promotion and finally stabbing his benefactors in the back. He is a political blackguard. He is a disgrace to the military. When he finally becomes regularly disinvited to authentic Republican activities he can revert to his narrow political profile and move over to the liberals where he will be celebrated as someone undercover and spread disease among the enemy. He might get his third Medal of Freedom for that.

 

I want him back in my party and I will offer to have him mechanically instruct me on how to vote on my ballot if he switches over to the Party of the People. I 0we him that much as a fellow Viet Nam vet. We welcomed Arlen Specter as he performed as the buffoon he promised to be. We suckered him into yielding many party chair powers. That is one more loser in our camp.

For the first time in my adult life I am ashamed of one of my country’s soldiers. But, my party needs and nurtures losers like this if they can bring in votes.

rycK

 Comments: ryckki@gmail.com

 


[1] I am now a mole.

[3]In political jargon, the term useful idiot was used to describe Soviet sympathizers in western countries and the attitude of the Sovietgovernment towards them. The implication was that though the person in question naïvely thought themselves an ally of the Soviets or otherCommunists, they were actually held in contempt by them, and being cynically used.

The term is now used more broadly to describe someone who is perceived to be manipulated by a political movement, terrorist group, hostile government, or business, whether or not the group is Communist in natur

 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Useful_idiot

[4] He apparently didn’t know the VC hated us.

[5]  Frequently the service jacket of someone with political influence is stamped with 1.5 inch block letters on the jacket front in red ink as PI. This warns those who would expect this person to act as a normal soldier.

[6] Infanticide.

[7] Very doubtful that a ROTC flunky with a low IQ could be anything other than ‘average’ in the presence of real soldiers from our esteemed military academies. There are thousands of military officers who deserved a promotion in lieu of this phony.

 

[9] Barrett, Ted and Andrea Koppel (2006-09-15). "GOP split as Senate panel bucks Bush on terror tribunals". CNN. Retrieved on February 3 2007.

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The Demise of the US Dollar and the Road to Serfdom

The Demise of the US Dollar and the Road to Serfdom

 

Abstract: Out phony government is now buying debt and the Chinese object loudly. As alert and concerned creditors they fear that we are just printing money hence ‘monetizing our debt.’ They object to the US Treasury buying debt and throwing more phony money around to ostensibly fight deflation or whatever. Our AAA bond rating is now in jeopardy as is the UK rating. The promise that the fed has the ability to “unwind and reversethis wild spending is no longer believable. Marxian radicals now seem to have control of the levers of finance and taxation in our country.

 

Our citizens are now too simple and trusting to make a nasty scene when our elected [and worse…some appointed] officials tell us all about the economy, debt and such and that we will recover from this mess. We should be outraged that they breath our air.

 

The IMF [International Monetary Fund] has warned the Brits that their AAA bond rating is in jeopardy and, due to their horrendous debt, may soon be relegated to junk status or worse.

A reading of the recent book Read The Ascent of Money by Niall Ferguson[1] gives us several exciting examples of past bond bubbles and the aftermath of such foolishness.  We are now playing that kind of game. We are looking straight into the financial abyss. We cannot sustain this spending.  A tax rate of 100% is now not high enough to get us out of this mess.

 

The central issue here is that we do not have enough capital to finance our federal debt nor do the Brits or many others in our new global economy. To keep the lid on the steamer, our Treasury Secretary, Little Timmy Geithner, has elected to sell us on the notion that the fed can do this:

 

“… [the fed people] are very committed to making sure they have the ability to unwind and reverse the exceptional measures they have taken once we have achieved the necessary stability in our financial markets and an economic recovery is back on track."[2]Geithner [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

 

Can we believe this?

 

We have some serious doubts about our government and its ability to handle finances. [3] California is in a pecuniary panic and beyond rescue.[4] Our union-crushed automakers in Detroit are now being subsidized by the government with the bond holders having been pushed aside and the unions given a majority of shares in these ‘restructured’ companies that bring so much money into Democratic Party slush buckets. When could they ever sell bonds again? Not on this planet.

 

Now, China is warning us that we may be ‘monetizing’ our debt:

 

Richard Fisher, president of the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank, said: "Senior officials of the Chinese government grilled me about whether or not we are going to monetise[5] the actions of our legislature."

 

"I must have been asked about that a hundred times in China. I was asked at every single meeting about our purchases of Treasuries. That seemed to be the principal preoccupation of those that were invested with their surpluses mostly in the United States," he told the Wall Street Journal.”-- China warns Federal Reserve over 'printing money.' China has warned a top member of the US Federal Reserve that it is increasingly disturbed by the Fed's direct purchase of US Treasury bonds by Ambrose Evans-Prichard 24 May 2009

 

The Oxford-educated Mr Fisher, an outspoken free-marketer and believer in the Schumpeterian process of "creative destruction", has been running a fervent campaign to alert Americans to the "very big hole" in unfunded pension and health-care liabilities built up by a careless political class over the years.”

 

"We at the Dallas Fed believe the total is over $99 trillion[6]," he said in February.

"This situation is of your own creation. When you berate your representatives or senators or presidents for the mess we are in, you are really berating yourself. You elect them," he said.”-- Ambrose Evans-Prichard 24 May 2009

 

Our dollar is sinking fast.[7] Gold is soaring. Our hapless leftist radicals, oblivious to reason or any admitted knowledge of finance, are planning to spend 10 trillion more during ‘Obama’s First Term.’

 

Gold prices are soaring and our currency is sagging as measured by the dollar index. [8] We are so far in debt that we cannot manage either the spending or the interest on our current debt. China has built up a large reserve of US dollars and now fears that we will just debase our currency and inflate their holding. We won’t default; we will just print money and pay them off. They understand this so they will now REFUSE TO BUY ANY MORE US BONDS.  So, who buys them? How many suckers do we have left in the world?

 

This is not the time to perform some more magic feats of finance by spending our way into prosperity. What we face is a degradation of our currency, soaring dollar prices for oil and any exports and a collapse of our financial structure. The fed is spending and printing money wildly in what should be a battle against deflation, but it looks like there is more mischief here. It looks like the plan is to actually wreck the financial system so the government can ‘rescue’ us from the evil capitalists.  To think that Chrysler and GM could ever again be viable companies with such labor costs and piles of rules and laws about their products is beyond the imagination of even Harry Potter’s creator.

 

That elfin creature Geithner offers no believable financial mechanisms to “to unwind and reverse the exceptional measures they have taken…” I think he is lying.  The slimy Marxian radicals who somehow got to power by importing poverty and other nefarious measures such as ballot box stuffing, reprehensible energy taxes and carbon caps and nurturing  union corruption tactics now have their chance to ‘change’ our society. We won’t like that.

 

Business taxes and red tape will drive more unemployment to depression levels. Businesses cannot operate with higher and higher costs—they will have to cut workers or move out of the country, a good bet in our new global economy. Detroit will be another wretched failure and Michigan will look like Somalia in just two years or so.  California will view Michigan as some kind of paradise compared to what they are facing. We could sell California to Mexico if they had any money.

 

Our phony government just ruined the corporate bond market when they put bondholders in the creditor’s lines somewhere behind the trash collectors and gave some foreign company 20% of Chrysler for nothing but a promise to peddle their puny little death traps called ‘cars.’ Now, our phony governments [state and federal] will try to peddle more bonds to finance their social programs that are now well beyond the definition of broke. They have gone fascist.[9]

 

They are frantic for money so look out for a wealth tax or the attachment of your 401(k) s to feed the monster known as Social Security.  We need to unelect most of our officials and so-called leaders.

 

rycK

 

Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com

 



[1] “The number one lesson from this book is this: financial systems collapse all the time. It happens in every era in every geography — which highlights why it shouldn’t be such a surprise that our own system is under serious strain right now.” http://john.jubjubs.net/2009/04/03/the-ascent-of-money-by-niall-ferguson/

[5] Roughly translated this means that we will just print money to pay the interest on the debt. Our Choice Now: Cut Expenses or Go Down the Road to Financial Oblivion.

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2009/04/07/our_choice_now_cut_expenses_or_go_down_the_road_to_financial_oblivion.thtml

 

[6] That works out to $1,523,076.92 for the 65 million taxpayers in the US.

[9] “…a system under which the government now owns private businesses, and since the actual definition of fascism is the merger of corporate and government powers …” http://cody.blogs.foxbusiness.com/2009/05/20/buffets-a-fascist-my-tweets-of-the-day/

 

“This [Fascism] was to be achieved by a form of government control over business and labor (called "the corporate state" by Mussolini)[12][13]No common and concise definition exists for fascism and historians and political scientists disagree on what should be in any concise definition.” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fascism

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Little Timmy Tells us Fairy Tales about Financial Unwindings and other Fantasies.

Little Timmy Tells us Fairy Tales about Financial Unwindings and other Fantasies.

 

Abstract: U.S. Treasury Secretary Little Timothy Geithner said this today [see below].  I have some problems understanding just what he means by unwinding and reversing exceptional measures they have taken. For me, the numbers just don’t work out. The term exceptional is also an understatement. Perhaps somebody can explain some 2009 economics to me. I don’t want to be cynical and just call this guy a liar or suggest that he is just on a whooping binge and foaming at the mouth. I would like to believe that these people can save us before I rush out of the country to some third world haven to avoid the worst financial disaster in US history.

 

 

"I am deeply aware of the complexity and importance of that

basic task of making sure we are preserving that great asset --

which is the deepest and most liquid markets in the world. And

we will work very hard at that."

 

"You are right to say that the Fed is embarked on a very

unconventional, exceptional program for buying Treasuries...but

we have a very strong Fed, independent Fed, whose basic

obligation to the Congress and the American people is to keep

inflation low and stable over time and they have been

exceptionally good at doing that and they will be good in the

future. And, as the (Fed) chairman has said in public, they are

very committed to making sure they have the ability to unwind

and reverse the exceptional measures they have taken once we

have achieved the necessary stability in our financial markets

and an economic recovery is back on track.""—Geithner

 

This makes me want to watch Mary Poppins 75 times or seek some other less constructive and instructive diversion. The world unconventional strikes me as rather unconventional in this location. There is nothing ‘unconventional’ about some banana republic going berserk and printing money.

 

There are only three types of monies here that come into play in the money supply, debt structure and bond markets: [1] money in circulation as in M2 [8.3 trillion currently] and such other foreign or hidden capital and [2] phony money such as TARP Dollars that sit up in capital accounts in banks so the bankers who drive these Zombie Banks can daydream that they are not insolvent. Then there are [3] the deficit spending sums which are presumable money ‘barrowed’ from somewhere and will enter the economy   immediately and act as an anchor to drag us down with massive interest rate payments for eternity. Deficit spending increases the money supply. Only with a balanced budget do you get a multiplier of 1.

 

In the first case we are probably deflating so the current level of M2 does not affect inflation or the ability to barrow money. If MO [cash and coins in safes] is high then M2 has contracted by 10x the amount hidden in mattresses and jars buried in the garden. That keeps inflation down but also lowers consumption.

 

In the second case, the Fed can dance the Dunciad , recite the hidden ‘rules’  and ask the banks to post back this nonexistent money and it will not creep into the money supply and cause inflation.  This is inflation neutral because the money has no movement from bank to bank [velocity is zero ]. In first category, however, we can look at Bush2’s 150 bln bailout which, according to monetary theory will expand by the reciprocal of the reserve ratio which is 10% so that is a cool 1.5 trillion dollars there. That hikes M2 levels of 2008 by about 18%. That is inflationary in normal times. That did get out and has had little effect yet as consumption is down hence no inflationary pressure. Obama plans another such stimulus in May and that will be about the same level so we can expect another 15% or so increase in M2 and bingo we are at +%35. It will be amusing to see how he ‘unwinds’ this tidy sum.

 

The Fed no longer tells us about M3  so that may be the magic hiding place for all this wonder. Perhaps we should not ask. Maybe there is some M4 somewhere in the stars.

 

Will Little Timmy just put up a %35 surcharge on all our taxes? He probably has that power as Congress has no idea what power they gave his predecessor.  No, that is not enough because only the top half pays federal taxes. How about a nifty %70 Surcharge or whatever it takes to bring back that THREE TRILLION DOLLARS!!!!!!!!!

 

But, isn’t that about as big as the 2009 total budget? Yes, it is! To claw that back we would need taxes exceeding 100% because the total taxes for 2010 [if that is the year we stabilize the economy] would be 6 trillion or a mere 46% of the GDP.

 

Well, as a good citizen, and a Democrat to boot, I am impressed with Little Timmy and his assurance that he can unwind and reverse the exceptional measures they have taken without stripping all of us of everything we own.

 

Maybe somebody can explain all this to me as I seem to have lost my way in the complex economics of 2009.

 

Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com

 

 

 

 

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California Voters Reject Phony Budget Scams.

 

California Voters Reject Phony Budget Scams.

 Abstract: California is finished as a society at least in economic and financial terms. There is ample room for higher levels of drug addiction and insanity. The voters have delayed the financial implosion of their state as the ‘budget solutions’ from their drug-crazed and insane legislators will only raise the debt liability as the years go on. There is no limit to the spending that the leftists can legislate unless the state goes bankrupt and these greedy unions are stomped and neutered by a bankruptcy judge. The in-the-Marxist-tank press merely blames Arnold.

  

 We all know that California is finished as a society at least in economic terms.[1] The Sacramento Parasites can do nothing other than spend wildly on such esoteric nostrums as their versions of ‘education’ that rank somewhere near the bottom of the upper 48. They import poverty at 10 billion a year in spending so as to stuff their ballot boxes and gain power and expect the rest of the US citizens to subsidize their hallucinatory society. They are a disgrace and the world needs to see them crash in a financial maelstrom and take lessons on simple arithmetic—something that must not be taught in their school systems any more. Socially and morally, they are worse than bankrupt. [2] California is now a containment facility for degenerates.

 

So, the voters were given some choices and what did we learn? They don’t like the socialist parasites that have their oily snouts sunk deep into the public trough. The voters rejected these phony psychotic lunges for more and more money from anywhere and particularly from the future. They have no concept of debt. If you smoke enough Mary Jane the debt seems to become somewhat less of a problem.

 Let us listen to some whines:

 LOS ANGELES — A smattering of California voters on Tuesday soundly rejected five ballot measures designed to keep the state solvent through the rest of the year.[3]-- Calif. Voters Reject Measures to Keep State Solvent New York Times b y By Jennifer Steinhauer Published: May 20, 2009   [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

 We are firstly alerted to the salient leftist fact that ‘the people’ did not endorse this outrage thus the courts must address this and conjure up some ‘justice’ and perhaps redress the sins of the past. The illegal aliens must not have made it to the ballot boxes in sufficient numbers. Such a tragedy.  None of this would have made this ‘state’ solvent and the deficit will ascend arithmetically the rest of this summer. There is no way to stop it without massive spending cuts.

 The measures, which would have prolonged tax increases, capped state spending, earmarked money for education and involved the state in a complex borrowing scheme against its lottery, were rejected by roughly 60 percent of those who voted. The failure of the measures, combined with falling revenues since the state passed its budget, leaves California with a $21 billion new hole to fill, while foreclosure rates and unemployment remain vexing problems here.”-- Jennifer Steinhauer

 A bright spot in the latrine:

 “The one measure to pass, which would prevent legislators and statewide constitutional officers, including the governor, from receiving pay rises in years when the state is running a deficit, was approved by more than 75 percent of those who cast ballots, demonstrating the overwhelming disgust many Californians say in polls that they feel toward elected officials in a time of deep budget paralysis.”-- Jennifer Steinhauer

 I wonder if the voters are awake. They voted for ‘change’ and now O’Bozo has spent or committed more money to be squandered than all the presidents that came before him. This is insanity and the voters will be penniless unless they wake up and vote every maggot out of office and then set up hearings for criminal conduct. California is the first place to start this purification process.

 We face a staggering $21.3 billion deficit and in order to prevent a fiscal disaster, Democrats and Republicans must collaborate and work together to address this shortfall,” said Governor Schwarzenegger. “The longer we wait the worse the problem becomes and the more limited our choices will be.”—Arnold Schwarzenegger quoted in the NYT article cited above.

 These fools faced a 42 billion dollar deficit last round. And we thought this would be the end of it??

 This is an example of ‘news:’

 LOS ANGELES (AP) — Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger wanted to permanently fix California's "broken budget system." But three times now he has tried and failed to smooth out the state's roller coaster revenues.”[4]-- Schwarzenegger's 3rd budget reform attempt flops by AP writer Juliet Williams

 Arnold has no power over the legislature. He has no power over the “propositions” that appear on the ballot boxes from time to time.

 Now, we can read the LA Times [LATrines] so we can know who the real culprit might be:

By rejecting five budget measures, Californians also brought into stark relief the fact that they, too, share blame for the political dysfunction that has brought California to the brink of insolvency.”-- California voters exercise their power -- and that's the problem. Residents relish their role in the lawmaking process, but they share the blame for the state's severe dysfunction.” By Michael Finnegan May 20, 2009

 After filtering off the leftist drool from the pages here, we must note that in a democracy the voters have done poorly and that while they voted to stop the madness and eternal spending that could sink the state in debt for decades their votes must have made the situation worse! Where are the teacher’s unions and other groups here? They have no responsibility here for wild spending and ecological and financial lunacy?

 Here is more:

 “The results Tuesday fit Californians' long-standing pattern of demanding what is ultimately irreconcilable, all the more so in an economic downturn: lower taxes and higher spending.”-- Michael Finnegan 

 The voters are to blame for the sorry state of the schools? Well, the ‘unified’ LA School System is the joke of the Western Hemisphere in the way that they ‘teach’ their ‘students’ all sorts of Marxist camel plop and other pro-drug EcoNazi [5] Lysenko-styled dogma not to forget to mention the most essential component to California’s future: gay marriage. How about a ballot initiative that would cut the number of state government employees in half? Would that pass? How about an initiative that would cut legislator’s salaries, benefits and retirement 20% for each year they cannot secure a balanced budget. I think that would pass. California has too many state workers with astronomical salaries and benefits such as free sex-change operations in some places and everybody knows this.

 The recurring ‘problem’ is Prop 13 that emasculated the legislature and prevented them from being wanton tax whores:

 In the Proposition 13 tax rebellion of 1978, Californians voted to require a two-thirds approval by the Legislature to raise taxes, a major obstacle to budget agreements. Over the last couple of decades, voters have also passed a patchwork of ballot measures directing billions of dollars to favorite causes, among them public schools and transportation projects”-- Michael Finnegan 

 Measures such as this might have prevented that idiot Obama from spending 12 trillion dollars in the federal system if the rest of us had one was in place.  How about a balanced budget amendment? We need a national tax rebellion.

 California is fast becoming the Needle Park[6] of the Left Coast and will be difficult to expel from the union. It will just become worse so we wonder if many in the legislature in Sacramento are doing too few drugs. Why not just pass out crack pipes during legislative sessions in Sacramento?

 This is hopeless. Move out!

 rycK [a 5th generation Californian in exile]

 Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com



[3] Calif. Voters Reject Measures to Keep State Solvent New York Times  b y By Jennifer Steinhauer Published: May 20, 2009 http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/20/us/20vote.html?_r=1&hp

[4] Schwarzenegger's 3rd budget reform attempt flops By Juliet Williamshttp://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gtCWUjTUW08PytEz1VoNOaz9pzJQD989T0CG0

 

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The Demise of the Dollar and US Society as we know it.

The Demise of the Dollar and US Society as we know it.

 

The problem:

 

Sooner than we think, the dollar may be challenged by other currencies, most likely the Chinese renminbi. This would have serious costs for America, as our ability to finance our budget and trade deficits cheaply would disappear.[1]--  The Almighty Renminbi?[2] By Nouriel Roubini Op-Ed Contributor Published: May 13, 2009 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

 

Our dollar is being debased by wild printing of money by the fed. We are spending on social programs and trying to rescue Zombie Banks[3] and Zombie auto companies[4] to ‘save jobs.’ We are on some kind of anti-capitalist crusade reminiscent of Saladin[5] or Mao.[6]

 

Of course, this is Dr. Doom speaking and the Spectre of Doom does not make parallel too well with the so-called ‘recovery’ or stimulus plans of the Obama administration. Their wild spending depends on the excuse or favorable outcome of growth in t he US economy and that hope is fading fast. The Good Doctor has been right so far. [7] Others have guessed wrongly.

 

Some History: Bernanke guessed wrong when he said that:

 

 …I believe that the chance of significant deflation in the United States in the foreseeable future is extremely small, for two principal reasons…[ignore the rest—he guessed wrong][8]-- Deflation: Making Sure "It" Doesn't Happen Here.  Remarks by Governor Ben S. Bernanke Before the National Economists Club, Washington, D.C. November 21, 2002

 

Bernanke also guessed wrong when he told Congress that we needed to rescue the mortgage market, another Zombie that is dead and rotting in the grave. This is a political disease as the government slobbers and jives when markets rise but rush to ‘be fair’ and ‘help the poor’ if markets take a down turn. Thus, this is a futile attempt at forcing ‘equality[9]’ upon the citizens by punishing the successful. This is wealth lost.

 

The dollar or what?

 

But what could replace it?[the dollar, ed.]  The British pound, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc remain minor reserve currencies, as those countries are not major powers. Gold is still a barbaric relic whose value rises only when inflation is high. The euro is hobbled by concerns about the long-term viability of the European Monetary Union. That leaves the renminbi.”-- Nouriel Roubini

 

We may get a chance to test the worth of this form of barbarism.

 

“Now that the dollar’s position is no longer so secure, we need to shift our priorities. This will entail investing in our crumbling infrastructure, alternative and renewable resources and productive human capital — rather than in unnecessary housing and toxic financial innovation. This will be the only way to slow down the decline of the dollar, and sustain our influence in global affairs.”-- Nouriel Roubini

 

This sentence just about rips it for our version of capitalism.

 

We need to look into the future with our crystal ball and, as always, watch California ‘progress’ in  leading the nation into the realm of new possibilities.[10]  With 10% of the US population [not counting illegal aliens], California now has almost the worst educational system in the northern hemisphere and a recent soaring state bud deficit of 40%.  The next budget is already 20 bln in the hole. California is morally and intellectually insolvent and socially and financially bankrupt. Their grand plan it to just keep on spending and spending and hope that Obama will rescue them with printed money.

 

California has imported poverty, drugs and disease and used these leftist political assets to swamp the ballot boxes so they could decriminalize sloth, sodomy and drug addiction. They have raised political correctness to a level not envisioned by the Nazis[11] or even the Moscow Show Trials.[12] The new and novel idea for some more tax revenue is to legalize and highly tax marijuana.[13] They have what appears to be a fully degenerative society as lofty tax rates purify their state by driving out the capitalists and other non believers in their psychotic brand of governance. They are moral lepers. [14] They believe that EcoNazism[15] will rescue their economy. In satire, but stressing what I think they offer, I believe they proffer this [see ref in footnotes]:[16]

 

Not to be too stuffy about my former state, I must be fair and shuffle in some observations about other wonderful and progressive states and cities like New York[17] , New Jersey[18] and Massachusetts.[19]  I must mention Baltimore, New York, Philly, Atlanta, New Haven, Detroit, Cleveland, New Orleans, Oakland, San Francisco and some other concrete jungles that I have spent too much time in. Not to be outdone in taxation[20] and murder[21] these places, or the inner cities of most, have rivaled California in the esurience for belligerent unawareness and drug-induced mental illness.

 

California is sinking in a dozen selected metrics.[22] They grovel before the unions, ignore education, commemorate illegal aliens, have embraced EcoNazism and numerous other follies.

 

Another point of view:

California needs someone to say:

[1] "Hey voters, screw you and your stupid ballot measures."

[2] "Hey public employees, we're laying some of you off and cutting pay for the rest of you."

[3] "Hey rich folks who live on the coast, we're raising your property taxes. Suckas!"[23]-- California Is A Crisis For Democracy by Joe Wiesenthal May. 13, 2009

Translated, this [probably] means: [1] raise property taxes and dump term limits, [2] downsize the unions and [3] raise taxes even higher. This is a mixed solution to a mass of problems—hence unworkable and foolish blather--, but Wsiesnthall does have an interesting prediction:

In the meantime, it looks like California's democracy are [sic] set to spread. When the state finally threatens to default, and Barney Frank manages to push a guarantee of the entire muni market, the de-federalization of America will be complete".

The bond market[24] is already a financial cesspool and having the fed guarantee California’s municipal bonds is a license for them to ignore any notion of debt or responsibility. The taxpayers of the other 49 can subsidize their lunacy. This is race to the bottom and it is relevant to suggest that we need for California to hastily showcase its soiled lingerie to the world[25] and go bankrupt before the contagion spreads beyond New York and the other aforementioned ‘states.’

It all hangs on Congress at this moment. If they authorize the wasting of more previous capital then we are finished.

rycK

 

Comments: ryckki@gmail.com



[1] The Almighty Renminbi?[1] By Nouriel Roubini Op-Ed Contributor Published: May 13, 2009 http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/14/opinion/14Roubini.html?_r=1

 

[2]The people’s currency.  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Renminbi_Yuan

 

[7] The Great Depression in the USA 2008 II: Warnings from the Past and Present http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/10/27/the_great_depression_in_the_usa_2008_ii_warnings_from_the_past_and_present.thtml

 

People who have been totally blinded and wrong accusing me of getting the timing wrong, it’s just a joke,” he said. “It’s a bit pathetic, frankly. I was not making generic statements. I have made very specific predictions and I have been right all along.” Quote From Nouriel Roubini  in The Sunday Times Sunday October 26, 2008

 

[8] Deflation: Making Sure "It" Doesn't Happen Here. Remarks by Governor Ben S. Bernanke Before the National Economists Club, Washington, D.C.November 21, 2002

http://www.federalreserve.gov/BOARDDOCS/SPEECHES/2002/20021121/default.htm

 

[13] This will just hike the price of dope and make higher profits for drug dealers and smugglers.

 

[23] California Is A Crisis For Democracy by Joe Weisenthal|May. 13, 2009 http://www.businessinsider.com/californias-crisis-of-democracy-2009-5

[25]Our current government is on a wild spending spree and fantasizing about green products, electric cars and other fanciful dreams that are derived from smoking crack or other leftist pastimes. California [or what I call the California Disease][25]  is the test case as they will probably get to the very limit of ‘equality’ as soon as they go bankrupt and unemployment soars in the Golden State. The Gold will surely turn to rust. New York State and New Jersey, all controlled by left liberals will soon follow. Ever notice that the top 10 cities famous for high murder rates are run by 9 Democrats and 1 liberal Republican? The leftists sure know how to run major cities equitably as the propensity to get murdered is similar in these cities”

 

The Futile Attempt of Forcing Equality Among the Masses.

http://ryckzrantz.blogtownhall.com/2009/04/30/the_futile_attempt_of_forcing_equality_among_the_masses.thtml

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The Debt-Deflation Trap and the Psychosis of Government Spending

The Debt-Deflation Trap and the Psychosis of Government Spending

 

Abstract: The fundamental theory is clear on deflation and debt yet our government seems to want to ignore the facts of this theory and thus trade our deliberately-ruined future for political power. We are spending too much money on phony projects that reek of Lysenkoism[1] and will face hyperinflation as the reward for such foolishness. Irving Fisher published nine points that defined a depression in the 30s and every one of his 9 metrics can be seen glaring at us in our current economy. There is some phony theory that a green revolution [EcoNazism] and massive taxes on energy can some vitalize our economy and bring us out of this economic swamp. What we are experiencing is the far left exercising their chance to wreck our economy and defeat capitalism  by crashing the world banking system and nationalizing  the resultant zombie banks and zombie corporations. We are already buried in debt and hyperinflation will destroy key parts of our society.

 

I keep harping on this theme—the notion that we are in a debt-driven deflationary spiral and that massive spending and more debt is only going to make it worse. People who think they can ‘solve’ this current global problem with a ‘stimulus’ are throwing money in the wrong sectors. The temptation here for the politicians currently in power to  expand government with massive new social programs FDR-style and to test new  exotic spending limits and that will some how bring prosperity. They talk about quantitative easing[2], otherwise known as just foolishly printing money, as part of some rescue plan. This must be distinguished from bank bailouts where the money posted to the capital accounts of our 19 Zombie banks is not moving—it just gives the banks the algebraic liberty to show that their assets, magically, do sum higher than their liabilities. They are thus ‘solvent.’

 

I have pushed the panic button for some time here trying to alert at least some of us on the path we are taking. [3] As an example of American economic socio suicide,[4] I cite the sad case of California as a place where the documented economic tests of the fruits of liberalism will be showcased for decades or perhaps centuries.[5] The pseudo economic jesters in Sacramento and Washington persist in their anti-capitalist fabrications and novel freak show-peepshow songs and dance. We have some Nobel Laureate ignoring spending limits and massive debt and groping for the power to nationalize banks. [6] The future economic landscape can, in the view of the leftists, be reshaped, honed and purified by going ‘green’ with all sorts of massive taxes on energy and other essential business parameters. They think they can both tax us into economic ecstasy and save money by radical alterations in cars, food, medical care and such. The Demon Inflation or its bigger brother Hyperinflation are known beings from the economic swamps that have only recently been given any credence from the left and that comes only from Warren Buffett.[7] The EcoNazi movement now drives to tax the world. [8] Electric cars are now ‘mandatory’ as the new transportation device as Detroit’s Big Three Zombies will be forced to make these things that people don’t won’t to buy. [9]  The batteries are not efficient enough [20-25 miles on a charge??] so this is a destructive ruse as the battery technology is just not up to speed, but we have only been working on this technology since 1805. The cars they are showing now are very small hence death traps. They will, however and to be progressive, buy some ‘research’ with our taxes or debt and schedule a few inventions to save us.

 

The fundamentals from Irving Fisher[10]:

 

Following the stock market crash of 1929 and the ensuing Great Depression, Fisher developed a theory called debt-deflation. According to the debt deflation theory, a sequence of effects of the debt bubble bursting occurs:”

1.     Debt liquidation and distress selling.

2.     Contraction of the money supply as bank loans are paid off.

3.     A fall in the level of asset prices.

4.     A still greater fall in the net worth of businesses, precipitating bankruptcies.

5.     A fall in profits.

6.     A reduction in output, in trade and in employment.

7.     Pessimism and loss of confidence.

8.     Hoarding of money.

9.     A fall in nominal interest rates and a rise in deflation adjusted interest rates

 

Is there anybody who can not see all of these nine points not glare out from this page if you are watching our economy? Irving Fischer died in 1947.  Is anybody paying attention to those with long records of accurate economic predictions like Ambrose Evans-Prichard or Nouriel Roubini on these very basic tenets of government finance and economics? Everybody thinks we are getting well. The stock market is recovering so we can celebrate the fine work of Congress and Obama. How about Obama for the Nobel Prizes in both Peace and Economics!

 

As for this rally and ‘recovery’ and green shoots:

 

 Bear market rallies can be explosive. Japan had four violent spikes during its Lost Decade (33 percent, 55 percent, 44 percent, and 79 percent). Wall Street had seven during the Great Depression, lasting 40 days on average. The spring of 1931 was a corker.”[11]-- Enjoy the rally but expect sucker punch. By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard The Telegraph, London Sunday, May 10, 2009 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

Some predictions from Amity Shlaes Wednesday, December 31, 2008:

The United States has entered the era of the experiment. President-elect Barack Obama is putting forward an infrastructure program whose plans and price tag are unclear. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson whipped up the Troubled Asset Relief Program to buy up bad mortgage instruments, and, expanding on that experiment, President Bush wants to try extending TARP to autoworkers.

The idea that experiments are warranted in current circumstances comes from the New Deal. The official history is familiar: FDR put forward multiple projects, some at cross-purposes. Yet New Deal inconsistency was not a problem and might have been a virtue. Through "bold, persistent experimentation," his catchphrase, Franklin Roosevelt brought recovery.”-- A Chilling Uncertainty. The Lessons of Roosevelt's Experimentation By Amity Shlaes Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Yes, and how is that working out for Chrysler and GM? These are now Zombie Companies whose shrunken heads are perched on some wooden stick for some primitive ongoing union Dance for the Dollars as a gift and repayment from the far leftist political organization known as the Party of Democrats. All we need are some feathers and drums and a kazoo quartet to complete the comedy.

The history and outcomes are clear from vain attempts to circumvent capitalism for the sake of political power. The USSR is the biggest example of how to best ignore capitalism. But, president Obama will surely best that puny operation as he has conjured up a sum of money equal to our GDP and will chuck it wholesale into the howling government agencies to expand their power and keep the vote advantage.  The Brits and most of the EU are close behind this mad dash to the bottom of the economic swamp.

This is the anniversary of President Franklin D. Roosevelt's first fireside chat, given on March 12, 1933. This fool tried to fix the price of gold with lucky numbers:

Some of the worst destruction came with FDR's gold experiment. If he could drive up the price of gold by buying it, he reasoned, other prices would rise as well. Roosevelt was right to want to introduce more money into the economy (the United States was deflating). But his method was like trying to raise an ocean level by adding water by the thimbleful. What horrified markets even more was that FDR managed the operation personally, day by day, over a breakfast tray. No one ever knew what the increase would be. One Friday in November 1933, for example, Roosevelt told Treasury Secretary Henry Morgenthau that he thought the gold price ought to be raised 21 cents. Why that amount, Morgenthau asked. "Because it's three times seven," FDR replied.

“Morgenthau later wrote that "if anybody knew how we set the gold price, through a combination of lucky numbers, etc., I think they would be frightened."[12]-- By Amity Shlaes

And, we have yet to see how commercial real estate and consumer credit factors will blend in with toxic debt. Hard times are ahead and we are, I think, deliberately making exactly the wrong decisions on our economy. Our currency may collapse from all this spending.

I wish I was wrong more often. Maybe 3 x 7 will be the number of years we are in a depression the way things are going. I follow what is happening and I am “frightened."

rycK

 

Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com

 



[1] Al Gore is our new Lysenko.

[11] Enjoy the rally but expect sucker punch By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard The Telegraph, London Sunday, May 10, 2009 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/530112...

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Feelgoodism and the Hokum and Blow of Socialist Economics. We are Saved from Depression!!

Feelgoodism and the Hokum and Blow of Socialist Economics. We are Saved from Depression!!

 

All the good news and fluff from the Oval Office seems to have convinced us that the good times are gonna roll if we merely have the right attitudes and believe in the new system. We are in recovery and Obama must get the credit! We are saved!

 

A recent book postulates the existence of an attitudinal vector that can apparently modulate economic metrics and perhaps reverse the massive inflation we are going to receive from the gargantuan debt we are now mired in. We can be positive and influence the economy for the better:

 

An influential Democrat who was also one of the world’s top-ten, highest-paid hedge fund managers last year thinks he knows which book is at the top of the White House reading list this spring: Animal Spirits, the powerful new blast of behavioural economics[1] from Nobel prize-winner George Akerlof and Yale economist Robert Shiller.”

Judging by the upbeat economic message we have been hearing from the White House, the Treasury and even the Federal Reserve over the past six weeks, that is a shrewd guess. The authors argue that “we will never really understand important economic events unless we confront the fact that their causes are largely mental in nature”. Our “ideas and feelings” about the economy are not purely a rational reaction to data and experience; they themselves are an important driver of economic growth – and decline.”[2]-- What a feeling: how emotions may yet save the economy by Chrystia Freeland Published: May 7 2009 20:35 | Last updated: May 7 2009. [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

FDR tried that for nearly a decade and then chose to plunge us into an economic   wartime system that might have bankrupted our society for generations. We are lucky he was mistaken as he thought that we would never recover after consulting his economic advisors. His thirst for power was so great that he willingly wasted 400,000 soldiers and risked the utter collapse of our economy. He was that sick.  Many wonder if Obama is also that sick.

The ploy:

But, like Washington, Wall Street really does want the scheme to work and the markets to recover. Over the next few weeks the administration will be hoping those feelings are powerful enough to drive the economic data.”-- Chrystia Freeland

This is so phony as to defy imagination. The new ‘science’ of behavioral Economics is fraught with difficulties like describing the problem of risk aversion.[3] People have a different view of risk and this view forces them to buy bonds rather than common stocks even though the reward is greater.  Behavioral economics is helpless in describing this phenomenon.

The focus of this idea:

The focus here is on the rising stock markets[4] since March 2009 and the salient fact that we have some kind of a ‘rebound’ since then. Yes, some folks are buying some stocks and the averages are moving up and that is driven by supply and demand. But, we need to factor in the detail that many corps has already shed their excess fat, cleared off bad debt and retooled for new business opportunities. Many will make higher profits from lower costs on the same sales. Some companies are in a position to excel in this new market environment and investors know that.

Thus, if true, this is not some kind of goody-goody feel good social behavior—this results from some serious analysis and some risk taking. The economy has not improved as the tax returns for 2009 will surely tell. We are still in deflation and negative growth. We also have to factor in the unbelievable amount of ‘stimulus’ money that floods the banks and then wonder why we haven’t had a complete recovery! We have the Fed putting up some 12 trillion dollars in a 14 trillion economy in a wild scheme to cure illiquidity and other metrics of an economy-crushing debt-driven deflationary spiral that might still sink us. How can we be surprised when bank stocks fall 90% and then the fed comes in with boat loads of money at zero interest and then the banks make some small pr0fits?

An example:

When Citibank stock prices fell from $23 down to a dollar[5] and then raised to $3.80 last week we must think this is wonderful as it is about a 380% rise!! Actually it is still DOWN more than 80%. Let us buy some more! Actually Citibank is a Zombie Bank and is dead. It is not bankrupt because the fed stuffs money in their capital accounts to show that their assets and cash are really greater algebraically than their liabilities. If we wildly print more money the fed will also become a government zombie. Then we will be bartering with our shoes, jugs of used crank case oil and assorted rummage.

The yoyos in Washington even celebrated a new tranche of 500,000 lost jobs last month by spouting the words that have come to be the ultimate cliché lately: “It could have  been worse!.” Sure, Citibank stock could have only risen 200% and it was much better than we expected.

Here we have the government struggling to save the UAW for political reasons and we have pushed bond holders to the back of the bus and diluted Chrysler stock so the greedy unions will get 55% and the bankruptcy judge hadn’t even heard the pleas and motions at the time. The short message here is that our government wants to subsidize an auto maker and coerce them into making green-weenie cars that fit their current EcoNazi[6] hysteria and investors will take the first hit and then taxpayers will pick up the rest of the tab.  We are to be happy about this?? Our worthless government will make an Amtrak or a US Postal Service out of Detroit’s dead businesses and subsidize the whole mess with our tax dollars the way they do Amtrak.

This is a political trick and not so veiled. The hope is that Obama and his socialists can give us the illusion that what they are doing is ‘making a difference’ or ‘showing the effects of a ‘positive ‘ change and hope that people will spend more and create more jobs. Actually, the opposite is happening: the smart money waits on the sidelines and picks up jewels knowing that they can make profits in certain sectors of the economy and will avoid the rotten spots like banks and cars.   Savings are up so consumption is down. The GDP will thus fall more. If investors really believed in our government and the magic of UAW unionism, they would all this buying and the  GM and Chrysler shares would be soaring. The opposite is true. Their shares are nearly worthless.

This is all fluff, hokum and leftist politics at work. Watch your investments—we are heading into massive inflation from all this printing press panic and we will pay dearly until our phony government stops spending such huge amounts on phony social programs.

Think about this.

 

rycK

 

Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com

 



[2] What a feeling: how emotions may yet save the economy

By Chrystia Freeland Published: May 7 2009 20:35 | Last updated: May 7 2009 http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/69bc7894-3b34-11de-ba91-00144feabdc0.html

 . [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

 

[4]  Recall that these are averages and not everything is rising.

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The Looming Bond Bubble and Other Problems. Abandon Hope.

The Looming Bond Bubble and Other Problems. Abandon Hope.

 

Somewhere along the political process we traded the idiot George Bush for a new absurdity: wild spending and Neo-Marxian hype from the Obama Socialism.[1]  Bush2 had no concept of what excessive spending would do to our economy and even offered to just give Africa a 57 bln dollar as a ‘gift.’ That was just a dollop. I suppose we are to just ignore a few thousand years of monetary policy and believe that if we merely publish money in blizzard fashion that we will prosper and dig the world out of this debt-driven deflationary spiral that threatens to sink several economies.

 

At this time the bond holders are taking a beating.  Our most marvelous government has decided, a  priori, to push secured bondholders in the phony and worthless Chrysler auto company bankruptcy[2] to the back of the bus  so as to take big loses and  they were called ‘unpatriotic’ for their refusal to take a big loss for the sake of something  related to politics. The UAW, the penultimate example of a greedy union that sucked the blood out of the auto industry like they did with rails, textiles, steel and others, winds up with 55% of the common stock? The dilution factor is so high with this stock that such common shares are essentially worthless and the book value is probably zero or less. The Obama administration now changes the rules of the finance game by ignoring the top level position of bond holders to claim that their debts be paid off first. He seems to think that we all have ‘some skin in the game’ and that will bring the predictable result that NOBODY will buy bonds in government-tainted businesses. He just compromised the bond market.

 

A reading of the recent book Read The Ascent of Money by Niall Ferguson[3] gives us several exciting examples of past bond bubbles [Mississippi!] and the aftermath of such foolishness. The central issue here is that we do not have enough capital to finance our federal debt nor do the Brits or many others in our new global economy. The Asians do however, but they are unimpressed at our recent antics. The Chinese have been buying US Treasury bonds and have accumulated a pile of money from this but now wonder how their reserves can keep their value if we print money under the guise of QE or ‘quantitative easing.’ If we mess around with our bonds we may create a bubble that may burst and obliterate our currency. We saw that happen in Iceland lately.

 

Here are some of the Chinese comments:

 

"A policy mistake made by some major central bank may bring inflation risks to the whole world," said the People's Central Bank in its quarterly report.”

 

"As more and more economies are adopting unconventional monetary policies, such as quantitative easing (QE), major currencies' devaluation risks may rise," it said. The bank fears a "big consolidation" in the bond markets, clearly anxious that interest yields will surge as western states try to exit their QE experiment.[4]-- China fears bond crisis as it slams quantitative easing.  China has given its clearest warning to date that emergency monetary stimulus by Western governments risks setting off worldwide inflation and undermining global bond markets. By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Last Updated: 1:13PM BST 07 May 2009 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]

 

Bond prices run inversely to interest rates so if the US needs to raise rates the Chinese and other major bond holders such as the Japanese will see their bond prices fall. A doubling of current interest rates would mean that a $1000 would only be worth $500 on the bond market. Now, they can hold to maturity and get their $1000 back, but if inflation soars the value of the absolute number of dollars might be only a few hundred dollars or in hyperinflation a few dozen cents.

 

It appears that the Obama administration is hell bent upon printing money and paying off our massive federal debt with inflated dollars. Maybe our grandchildren will not inherit any debt after all if the inflation rates soar high enough.  This means that our ability to sell bonds may be in jeopardy.

 

Premier Wen Jiabao left no doubt at the Communist Party summit in March that China is irked by Washington's response to the credit crunch, suspecting that the US is engaging in a stealth default on its debt by driving down the dollar. "We have lent a massive amount of capital to the United States, and of course we are concerned about the security of our assets. To speak truthfully, I do indeed have some worries," he said.”

 

Ambrose Evans-Prichard comments on all this:

 

Some economists say China is suffering from "cognitive dissonance" by anguishing so much over its reserves, accumulated as a result of its own policy of holding down the yuan to promote exports. Quantitative easing by the US Federal Reserve and fellow central banks may have saved China as well, since the country's growth strategy is built on selling goods to the West.

 

China's fears of imported inflation may reflect its concerns about over-heating. The M2 money supply rose 25pc in March on a year earlier, and there has been explosive credit growth since the government relaxed loan restraints. There are concerns that the stimulus is leaking into a new asset bubble rather than promoting job growth. The Shanghai bourse is up over 50pc since November.”

 

What we have here is a mélange of deceit across the planet. The Chinese have deliberately kept their money [yuan] low so as to pursue their 16th century mercantilism that has recently served them so well. They cheated to win. They probably cannot fully internalize their economy as they are export focused. Japan is in the same fix with few natural resources. The US Fed is also deceitful as they are pushing trillions of dollars around the Zombie Banks in a nefarious manner defying the Obama nostrum of ‘transparency,’ because they are telling us this is a stimulus and little of this massive mountain of cash actually is. Barrowing from the future taxpayers and shifting that money to workers is NOT capital formation. Gordon Brown in the UK is not deceitful. He is bankrupting the island in public with no regrets.

 

Here is what I see happening:

 

[1] There are four segments to our global economy, third world, the EC, the US [with Canada and parts of Mexico], and Asia.

 

[2] The EC is deflating and some of the members are sinking in debt like the PIGS [Portugal, Ireland, Spain and Greece.] Some of these PIGS will default.  The socialists in the UK are wildly spending money with irresponsible abandon. The Germans and French are against quantitative easing as they know it will bring on inflation.

 

[3] Asia  holds ‘reserves’ from their successful export trade balance and now holds much of the essential capital[5] necessary for the global economy to move forward in growth.  China is now worried about the QE in the sense that their holding will inflate quickly if the US dollar gets out of control. Their predicament is what to buy or how to hold their mercantile profits for future growth.

 

[4] Third world in South America and Africa have a small part of the commercial action in the world with some bright spots in Brazil and abject failure in Africa. The Middle East is a middle case as they still depend on petrodollars to exist.

 

[5] The US has some 10-12 Zombie Banks that have nothing left buy stale accounts and an umbilical cord attached to the fed balance sheet. These 10 account for some 60% of the banking in North America. The US debt as a fraction of the GDP is going to be about 15%, a level that is not sustainable.

 

The Next Set of Potholes:

 

The next #1 crusher is commercial real estate—mostly malls—that will crash and release their workers into the unemployment lines.

 

The second crusher will be consumer credit and the credit card business. Consumption will fall and the GDP will suffer.

 

The big kahuna will be massive inflation from the wildly expanding money supply [M2].  Look for about 10-30% per year inflation  until things get hot and the government panics. Then, multiply that by 10 or so.

 

Unemployment will continue to soar and reach 12% by the end of August 2009.

 

The leftist thrust is to tax energy based only on the hallucinations of the rabid left. [6]  There is also some serious efforts afoot to bring the mentally disnimble into high perches of power based on the nostrum that all of us are essentially ‘equal’ and that hard work is the solution to success. [7][8]

 

All these factors will force the ‘global economy’ to degenerate into a global flea market where all rules are ignored. The EC will probably fractionate and some countries will be forced to withdraw from this august body and issue their own currencies, worthless that they might be. China will put up tariffs and such to try to protect their internal economy so they can attempt the conversation from mercantilism to isolationism. India must do the same and Japan is already focused on that outcome.

 

Several US states, notably California[9], New Jersey[10] and New York will default and beg for money from the government. As they are loyal blue votes and would maintain the socialists in power at this time they will get their gifts and will spend it all away and crawl back to the soggy, beer-splattered and vomit-soaked saloon floors to root around in the overflowing cuspidors for more alms.

 

And all this is much deserved by our voters who voted for ‘change. ‘ We all deserve this ‘change’ and will pay for it for generations.

 

Think about this.

 

rycK

 

Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com

 

 

 



[3] “The number one lesson from this book is this: financial systems collapse all the time. It happens in every era in every geography — which highlights why it shouldn’t be such a surprise that our own system is under serious strain right now.” http://john.jubjubs.net/2009/04/03/the-ascent-of-money-by-niall-ferguson/

[4] China fears bond crisis as it slams quantitative easing.  China has given its clearest warning to date that emergency monetary stimulus by Western governments risks setting off worldwide inflation and undermining global bond markets. By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Last Updated: 1:13PM BST 07 May 2009 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.]http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/5286832/China-fears-bond-crisis-as-it-slams-quantitative-easing.html

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The Babbling Brooks of the NYT Babbles about IQ and How to Beat It with Hard Work.


The Babbling Brooks of the NYT Babbles about IQ and How to Beat It with Hard Work.

Abstract: David Brooks has shown us the way to success by ignoring IQ scores and concentrating on hard work.  He follows the standard egalitarian argument that equality must be attained at any cost and this is going to be successful using contemporary paralogisms. He follows some novel theorists who seem to show that there are alternate paths to greatness achievable by only hard work and occasional mystical intervention of tutors or mentors.  We are given ‘research’ that shows that they can sort out the successful beings in history by merely assigning IQ levels or other cognitive skills in the absence of any data. Brooks treats us to a dainty little scenario whereby hard work and perseverance wins out for an average girl! This scheme strictly parallels the faulty logic of EcoNazism, Fabianism and other leftist follies. The political thrust here is an unswerving neuronal cramdown upon the above-average folk by the elitists who would structure our society according to egalitarianist ideals. Let the disnimble lead the race.  Hopefully California will institute these mandates and give us a peek into the future. They already appear to have their least adept political types in office and power now and working the tax levers with zeal. We can learn a lot from their failure if it is accurately reported as their society is melting down in puddles of ignorance, debt and drug addiction. Maybe this will be reversed by ‘hard work’ and the advice of a few mentors. Brook’s essay today is a “pastiche of other people’s work.”

As we stroll through the wasteland of political propaganda pieces from the NYT—aka the Walter Duranty Papers[1]--a turn-of-the-crank Marxian fog horn that gets noisier when we are cruising at full power against the rocks, we frequently are alerted to new ways to achieve success.  Our Chief Babbler David Brooks,[2][3][4][5] [6] now refutes the conventional wisdom about IQ and unveils the way to ‘success’ for the cognitively disnimble. Hard work or The Turtle and the Hare Revisited are offered as substitute titles for this hokum.  As the main focus of the soon-to-be-bankrupt NYT is misinformation[7] we expect this current contribution by David Brooks to be foaming over with such. It is. The point of the essay here is social leveling—the conviction that we all can achieve if we just work hard—thus demonstrating for all time that equality is at hand.  

 Some people live in romantic ages. They tend to believe that genius is the product of a divine spark. They believe that there have been, throughout the ages, certain paragons of greatness — Dante, Mozart, Einstein — whose talents far exceeded normal comprehension, who had an other-worldly access to transcendent truth, and who are best approached with reverential awe.[8]-- Genius: The Modern View by David Brooks Op-Ed Columnist Published: April 30, 200 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.][All quotes are from this link in this essay today unless otherwise indicated.]

 “We, of course, live in a scientific age, and modern research pierces hocus-pocus.[9] In the view that is now dominant, even Mozart’s early abilities were not the product of some innate spiritual gift. His early compositions were nothing special. They were pastiches of other people’s work. Mozart was a good musician at an early age, but he would not stand out among today’s top child-performers.”-- David Brooks

We now must submit our first piece of counter information at the offset with the IQ of the famous composer Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart Composer estimated at 165 IQ.[10] This is much higher than John Kerry’s meager score of 122. Again, these leftists do not know what WAM.’s IQ was. This idea is interesting, but how do you isolate those with high IQs from the lesser beings when both may have been stubborn and studious in their endeavors and also had excellent teachers? This is an important piece of the puzzle here and presents hazards and potholes for the traveler in this vein.

It’s not I.Q., a generally bad predictor of success, even in realms like chess. “

How does Brooks know this? He seems to prove the zero. Who took Mozart’s IQ or determined what level his ‘spiritual gifts’ were set upon?  He warps the definition of spiritual here for what reason? This is like judging a race car’s performance in a major race by looking at a worn tire used in practice runs. Actually we do know some things about Mozart when he wrote Minuet in F (K.2—actually K.1) and Minuet and Trio in G (K.1—actually K.2) at the age of between 5 and 6. We also know his father Leopold[11] was a fine teacher and that Mozart practiced long and hard.[12] We find references in the literature that suggest his IQ was 165.[13] If Mozart had a high IQ then our Babbler’s conclusion fails [cadit quastio] because he did not select a person with an average IQ or ‘spiritual’ gifts to wax philosophically upon. He ‘predicted’ a winner who must have gotten his gains by hard efforts because Mozart was a winner in the beginning! How do we know that Mozart’s cognitive skills were very high or not? It is easy to select a historical celebrity and then blandly assert that his success or failure was predicated and ultimately based upon a single metric and then to assure us that his score for this metric was low. This gives new meaning to the notion of circular logic.  We can give David Brooks credit for this advance in our intellectual inventory if nothing else. He seems to suggest that those who had high SAT scores and high IQ levels—those who run our engines of commerce and such—derived no benefit from their innate intellect. The Bell Curve debunks this phony theory with numerous—nay millions—of examples.[14]

Brooks cites Geoff Colvin’s book “Talent Is Overrated[15]” as a form of proof or at least some justifiable reference to support his very weak assertion.[16] But, Brooks now chucks in some comments about chess players as not having high IQs. It turns out that the famous Russian Chess grandmaster and World Champion Garry Kasparov has an IQ of 190. Again, we must search the world for world class chess players who had known and provable first normal or low IQs but who became rated as grand masters [2400 score or above] and perhaps attained the world title of World Chess Champion by hard work. Maybe Bobby Fischer was stupid. Notice that IQ measurements and SAT scores were scant before 1905[17] so this is conveniently left for us by ponder by Brooks who invokes the Law of Negative Evidence. Smorgasbord style, they pick the winners and losers by some hidden knowledge of their subject’s immeasurable abilities and then draw vast and all encompassing information from their own isolated conclusions in this little parlor game.

His research:

Coyle and Colvin describe dozens of experiments fleshing out this process. This research takes some of the magic out of great achievement. But it underlines a fact that is often neglected. Public discussion is smitten by genetics and what we’re “hard-wired” to do. And it’s true that genes place a leash on our capacities. But the brain is also phenomenally plastic. We construct ourselves through behavior. As Coyle observes, it’s not who you are, it’s what you do.”—summation by Brooks.

In other words, we can make a silk sow out of a purse’s ear.

We can all ‘flesh out’ success stories.[18] Let us peruse some anecdotes and submit them as proof:  In my high school many of the IQ scores of many leaked out from some teachers and during administrative meetings where student placements in certain classes were important. My high school had a population of about 400 in the fall from the freshman people, but the graduating class was only about 80. Most of the students and teachers knew who had the high IQ skills. My click in HS consisted of 10 persons of which 5 were Japanese who were born in relocation camps. The other five consisted of one Chicano, the class and student body president and four whites who were long-term natives of the San Joaquin Valley. The high school was divided into narrowly defined cardinal social ordinates consisting of ‘wetb**ks[19],’ Okies[20], hoodlums and creeps.[21] So, you must be a member of two groups at once.  The wetb**ks were mostly Hispanics or, in their preferred ethnic terms Chicano. This meant that the Japanese, Chinese and Armenians were Okies by default, but some chose to be wetb**ks.  Driven by IQ scores and innate intelligence the creeps took home the top grades, scholarships and went on to college while most of the Chicanos dropped out of school to work. Most of the hoodlums tried to become California state cops [and several succeeded] or other government employees or went to jail for certain crimes such as marijuana peddling.  I was an Okie creep, of course.

So, we knew who had the cognitive skills and were witnesses to the long-term development of our peer’s academic achievements often stretching over a decade or more for many of us. From our click of 10 we arrived at an impressive list of accomplishments: one medical doctor, one electrical engineer, one entrepreneur, one chemist-inventor [me], one dentist, one PhD in mathematics, one jail bird, one missionary, one friend of the 10, a Hispanic who became a university professor at [I think] University of California at San Diego, one big business administrator in the hospital trade and others.  One Japanese friend died early of heart disease after setting up his own business in dental appliances. But, of course, these were the intellectual elites of our high school. I don’t know what happened to the 1200 who never graduated.  Perhaps a hundred or so teach at Harvard.

Predicting events in the movie American Graffiti, most of us went to the local JC[22] where the academic progression continued. The valedictorian at our high school, an Okie girl with a soaring intellect, went on to take top honors at the College of the Sequoias. I took the Student Body Award for grade points by taking 26. 5 credit hours in one semester. Two of us went to UCLA and continued on in engineering. I wound up at S.U.N.Y. after being drafted[23] and did research at Yale for a few years and then was invited to join E. I.  DuPont so my career culminated with 25 research papers[24][25] and 6 patents,[26] a dozen successful products and several bonuses for corporate achievements.  I was later a member of an engineering fraternity at UCLA but the entrance exams were so difficult that only the very brightest were present. Thus, my group was elitist in academic skills. However, I did see a mixture of levels of hard work in my peers as estimated by the number of hours spent in study. My roommate studied more than 13 hours per day and was the president of the fraternity. Some brothers across the hall were into pranks and such and I have seen them ‘prepare’ for a nasty exam on dynamics for a full 20 minutes by musing over the little bumps and grinds in the homework, which they both ignored. They were both 4.0 students and went on to grad schools and never spent more than 20 min in any study period in my presence. They were always working on such follies as metal kite design theory, politics, the construction of bizarre missiles to be launched in the Mojave Desert, electronically defeating the ATT billing machines at General Telephone or the painting of blue and gold stripes on laboratory rats for the Stanford Library excitement just before the Stanford v. UCLA game at the Coliseum. Many of us put out little effort in lessons and preparation for exams—some buried themselves in their studies and went with little sleep and all were brilliant. They all were phenomenal successes in life.

Now, let us contrast this with the new ‘hard work’ theme touted by Brooks above. None of the people with known lower IQs in our HS or College were ‘successful’ in the academic sphere or any where lese from their hard work if they had low cognitive skills. Brooks must define success in other than academic terms.

Here is the Babblers road map to success:

[1]… you’d take a girl who possessed a slightly above average verbal ability. [?? Above what?]

[2]… you would want her to meet, say, a novelist,

[3]… she would read novels and literary biographies without end. 

[4]… This would give her a [sic] core knowledge of her field.

[5]… Then she would practice writing. Her practice would be slow, painstaking and error-focused…

[6]… Coyle describes a tennis academy in Russia where they enact rallies without a ball.

[7]… By practicing slowly, by breaking skills down into tiny parts and repeating, the strenuous student forces the brain to internalize a better pattern of performance.

[8]… Then our young writer would find a mentor who would provide a constant stream of feedback, viewing her performance from the outside, correcting the smallest errors, pushing her to take on tougher challenges.

This is so silly that I must probe the galaxy for a place to begin my condemnation of this sophistry. Here, we see some contorted, rose pedal-strewn path that parallels the traditional academic regimens but studiously avoids mention of cognitive skills or any innate ability. Only hard work will generate a Pulitzer Prize winning essayist or whatever. What Coyle describes here is the kind of atmosphere that Alexander must have experienced in the presence of Aristotle. We can also interject Bernard Shaw[27] and H. L. Mencken,[28] Joseph Conrad[29] into this discussion to contrast this puerile scenario with reality. These were all really great writers. We can agree that none of these three soared to the pinnacle of academic greatness, but we cannot assign their IQ levels either. In Mencken’s case, we might assume that he was very intelligent and only needed the rudimentary foundations of journalism to launch his superb literary career as he had little other training. Shaw was highly educated, but could not get his works published for years. He fashioned his own image writing for the London Saturday Review as a drama and literary critic where he frequently sent in letters to himself to complain about matters about his reviews and replied to these comments in his own columns with a caustic vehemence.[30]  He stirred up his own tempest much to his own benefit. Conrad’s most essential asset in his writing was his emotionalism that went frequently out of control as he attempted suicide at least once. I don’t think we could demonstrate that any of these had below average cognitive skills, but they all did work hard. Barbara Tuchman is another example of success without academic credentials.[31] Was she a dolt with a mentor? Did any or all of these four have a divine spark? I think so. Did they all have high IQs? I think so.

Here are some verified SAT scores translated into IQ equivalents:

NAME

SAT SCORE

EQUATES TO IQ SCORE

Howard Stern

870

99

Janeane Garofalo

950

105

Al Franken

1020

110

Paul Allen

1600

152

Bill Gates

1590

151

Bill O'Reilly

1585

150

James Woods

1579

150

Ben Stein

1573

150

Rush Limbaugh

1530

147

Scott McNealy

1420

139

Jennifer Ringley

1400

137

Al Gore

1355

134

George W. Bush

1206

123

John Kerry

1190

122

Bill Clinton

1032

110

Ref: http://www.kids-iq-tests.com/famous-people.html

It is amusing that John Kerry[32] scores lower than that blockhead Bush.[33] Clinton scrapes the bottom at 110 just ahead of Al Franken. Rush is right up there with the best just under 150.

Something that corresponds with  or tracks the new  EcoNazi theme[34] seems to be apparent [and predominate] here and is translated as this: We need to ‘change’ the system whereby some other pathway to ‘success’ is  mandated, but we cannot show examples of success from people with proven low cognitive skills so we have to use abstract examples. We must avoid choosing candidates who do have high IQs thus avoiding destruction and violence to our hypothesis. The obvious choice to demonstrate this with IQ levels lower than 90 must be avoided.[35] This pathway of ‘thinking’ penetrates into the nostrum of Global Warming where the best guesses and hottest computer models predicted an increase in the temperature of the earth and, embarrassingly, the opposite is now happening.[36] Hence, we shift the nostrum label to “Climate Change.” There is no outcome necessary—only a pathway that gives the soothsayers of this fantasy some power and lot money from speaking and investments. The whole “Genius” thing proffered here is probably just a cheap ruse. But, it might make political sense as the low class swells the voter rolls. Thus the mediocre might be offered the illusion that they can compete with their superiors. Some people need to get some ‘skin in the game’ and share the wealth.

Perhaps the best outcome here would be to watch some state reverse the IQ scale and only admit people to medical school or the university system or law schools or government with IQs less than 85. This type of social experiment was similarly structured, magnificently, by the Khmer Rouge in Cambodia where they tried to liquidate all those citizens who could read or had soft hands.  We don’t need airline pilots that can read if they worked hard to get into flight school. This can be a howling success. California now drifts toward such a system although, for the moment, they are not greasing the guillotines. [37] That might come.  The dumbing down of the educational system by the L. A. Unified School District and others will show us the wisdom of ignoring academics and innate cognitive skills probably to our amusement. If California crashes into financial oblivion we just might get a tax break in the other 49. We can all do better with less competition.

 

Again, we have put to sleep yet another sick puppy from the New York Times. We will continue to do so until they go bankrupt, which may be soon.

 

rycK

 

Comments to: ryckki@gmail.com



[1] In honor of that celebrated Communist stooge and liar and winner of the Pulitzer Prize for the NYT. The color RED is used in my essays in honor of Walter Duranty, a saint, if there could be one, in the Marxist Archives of Honor.

[5] The Babbling Brooks of the NYT Babbles about Decision Making [?!] and Perception?

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/10/28/the_babbling_brooks_of_the_nyt_babbles_about_decision_making_[!]_and_perception.thtml

 

The Babbling Brooks of the NYT Babbles about Nihilism with Innovative Socialist and Nihilist Overtones.  Raise Taxes!

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/10/01/the_babbling_brooks_of_the_nyt_babbles_about_nihilism_with_innovative_socialist_and_nihilist_overtones__raise_taxes!.thtml

The Babbling Brooks of the NYT Babbles about Obama and his Failure to Have a Clear Lead Over McCain.

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/08/05/the_babbling_brooks_of_the_nyt_babbles_about_obama_and_his_failure_to_have_a_clear_lead_over_mccain.thtml

 

The Babbling Brooks of the NYT Babbles about Education.

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/07/29/the_babbling_brooks_of_the_nyt_babbles_about_education.thtml

 

The Babbling Brooks of the NYT Babbles about Debt and Blame but Offers No Solution.

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/07/22/the_babbling_brooks_of_the_nyt_babbles_about_debt_and_blame_but_offers_no_solution.thtml

 

The Babbling Brooks of the NYT Babbles about Lincoln, Mercury Pills and The Grip of Emotions. [?!]

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/06/06/the_babbling_brooks_of_the_nyt_babbles_about_lincoln,_mercury_pills_and_the_grip_of_emotions_[!].thtml

 

From the Babbling Brooks: Confusion, Hokum and Fluff: Vote for Obama

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/05/06/from_the_babbling_brooks_confusion,_hokum_and_fluff_vote_for_obama.thtml

 

Echoes from the Babbling Brooks Envision a New Conservatism. The New York Times Advises Us on Society, as Usual: Higher Taxes

Posted by rycK on Saturday, February 16, 2008 10:37:49 AM

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/02/16/echoes_from_the_babbling_brooks_envision_a_new_conservatism_the_new_york_times_advises_us_on_society,_as_usual_higher_taxes.thtml

Brooks of the New York Times Mumbles about Bugs, Independent Voters and Mechanical Liberalism

Tuesday, January 08, 2008 10:36 AM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/50bf9f36-0e0b-4e9a-be6d-5234d0d54f2c

 

The Babbling Brooks of the NYT Babbles about Obama and his Failure to Have a Clear Lead Over McCain.

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/08/05/the_babbling_brooks_of_the_nyt_babbles_about_obama_and_his_failure_to_have_a_clear_lead_over_mccain.thtml

 

The Babbling Brooks of the NYT Babbles about Education.

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/07/29/the_babbling_brooks_of_the_nyt_babbles_about_education.thtml

 

Echoes from the Babbling Brooks Envision a New Conservatism. The New York Times Advises Us on Society, as Usual: Higher Taxes

Posted by rycK on Saturday, February 16, 2008 10:37:49 AM

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/02/16/echoes_from_the_babbling_brooks_envision_a_new_conservatism_the_new_york_times_advises_us_on_society,_as_usual_higher_taxes.thtml

 

[7] Propaganda Gem:  Krugman Distorts History as He Grubs for More Taxes.

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/06/16/propaganda_gem__krugman_distorts_history_as_he_grubs_for_more_taxes.thtml

Propaganda Gem: Frank the Crank Clarifies Anger for the Women Voters and the Polls Show Obama Wins the Most Women!

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/06/15/propaganda_gem_frank_the_crank_clarifies_anger_for_the_women_voters_and_the_polls_show_obama_wins_the_most_women!.thtml

Propaganda Alert: The New York Times Axes the Right Questions and then Answers Them with the Left Answers.

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/06/13/propaganda_alert_the_new_york_times_axes_the_right_questions_and_thenanswers_them_with_the_left_answers.thtml

Political Lessons from the Fairy Tales by the New York Times: Propaganda at Work.

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/04/11/political_lessons_from_the_fairy_tales_by_the_new_york_times_propaganda_at_work.thtml

Propaganda Lesson: Economics and Recessions from The NYT: A Long [Sad] Story and Stern Tutorial on Tax Cuts.

Friday, February 08, 2008 10:16 AM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/2bea69e5-bb30-4923-9ed4-192199970c1a

Debunking the New York Time’s Mythical Debunking of the Reagan Myth, a New Lesson In Propaganda.

Monday, January 21, 2008 2:40 PM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/891a796e-1a05-4978-898d-6b537e47c718

Another Lesson in Propaganda, Lies and Sleaze From The New York Times.

Wednesday, January 16, 2008 8:51 AM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/1a8b21b3-4d72-4558-bece-fce7920b4d13

Propaganda Lesson # 50,001 From The NYT: Krugman Advises Us About Personalities And Their Effects On Economics.

Monday, January 14, 2008 12:58 PM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/4183cd6c-8a51-4286-9fe8-c13c74fdf651

The New York Times Returns to Mindlessly Advocating Tax Hikes: Propaganda Lesson #50,001.

Monday, January 07, 2008 11:25 AM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/a9715023-f043-4d78-8e23-1cf0d1fd118a

More Lessons in Propaganda from the NYT: The Great Divide Phantasm.

Monday, December 31, 2007 11:44 AM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/d743c810-d793-4810-afd5-288fa3cb35cd

Arizona: A NYT Propaganda Lesson on the Abrogation of the Rule of Law for Illegal Aliens

Thursday, December 20, 2007 10:51 AM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/33b5a5af-d556-4b51-9a29-97934a13cc4e

The New York Times Gives Another Propaganda Lesson on Hillary

Sunday, December 09, 2007 1:43 PM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/a33cb63b-2c81-4747-be4d-99c54799f358

Propaganda Alert: New York Times calls for "Fair Tests?!"

Monday, November 26, 2007 3:44 PM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/32b0c232-e531-4f91-bd33-50d2cf604304

More Propaganda and Half Truths from the New York Times

Sunday, November 18, 2007 1:55 PM

http://rycksrationalizations.townhall.com/g/d51aca44-ba27-44a4-aed7-9afe7b9e36dc

 

 

[8] Genius: The Modern View By David Brooks Op-Ed ColumnistPublished: April 30, 200 [Emphasis is mine in all quotes.][All quotes are from this link in this essay today unless otherwise indicated.]http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/01/opinion/01brooks.html?em

[9] This one is self deprecating and I don’t have enough space or time in this  bloh  to toss this about.

[11]Leopold (1719–1787)  was deputy Kapellmeister to the court orchestra of the Archbishop of Salzburg, and a minor composer. He was also an experienced teacher, and in the year of Mozart's birth published a successful violin textbook, Versuch einer gründlichen Violinschule.  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mozart#Family_and_early_years

 

[14] This book[The Bell Curve: Intelligence and Class Structure in American Life (ISBN: 0029146739)  by Herrnstein, Richard J. and  Murray, Charles  Free Press of Glencoe , Inc, Old Tappan, New Jersey, U.S.A., 1994.] is blacklisted in leftist circles  because it shows that when standardized test scores are sorted by race that blacks and Hispanics score much lower than whites and Asians. Thus, a refutation to this vast array of data must somehow be accomplished.

[15] I haven’t read this yet and probably will not after reading this op-ed. This observation occurs in classrooms all across the land in 8,000 schools but must be ignored for political reasons. This book destroys the concept of equality among the races.

[16]Geoff Colvin recognizes that greatness exists in every aspect of life, far beyond the fields of sports, games, music, and the arts where inborn talent is most often credited with extraordinary performance. At the same time, another school of thought credits hard work and experience as the fundamental causes of success. The author's research tells a much different story, however. The book describes how long periods of carefully designed study and practice, combined with a superior teacher to provide feedback, is more important than either inborn ability or of long tenure. This concept, that the author calls deliberate practice, is neither easy nor enjoyable, rendering it underutilized by almost everyone in any walk of life.” http://blogbusinessworld.blogspot.com/2009/04/talent-is-overrated-by-geoff-colvin.html

 

[17] The Measurement Of Intelligence[17] by Lewis M Terman.  Published by   George G. Harrap & Co. Ltd, 1905.

 

[18] rycK's Bio: Achieving Prosperity In Spite of the Left Posted by rycK on Tuesday, June 12, 2007 9:06:28. http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2007/06/12/rycks_bio_achieving_prosperity_in_spite_of_the_left.thtml

 

[19] Or ‘sand bellies’ as the Chicano joke went. The term wetb**k was not necessarily derogatory in the high school student body in 1957. Most of our community or Cutler-Orosi, 93647, was undocumented workers. The town population was probably 1000 in the winter and 10,000 in the summer during the harvest periods.

[20]   1030s Dustbowl whites from Oklahoma and Arkansas. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Okie

[21] The actual word used was a bit coarser than creep.

[22] College of the Sequoias in Visalia, CA.

[23] I completed an A.C.S. Batchelor of Science in Chemistry in only 2 years by taking four chemistry courses per semester with a GPA of 3.43.

[24] All without a Ph.D. The only Nobel Laureate at DuPont had only a master’s degree.

[25] All peer reviewed I must say as this is now some kind of quality metric.

[26] One performed at 55 million dollars .

[27] Shaw was well educated, but his first 5 novels were flops.  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Bernard_Shaw#Work_as_a_critic

[28] H. L. Mencken took night courses in journalism and never attended college. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Bernard_Shaw#Work_as_a_critic

[29] He had little education except from his father. Conrad escaped military duty by refuting citizenship and shoes the sea a career . He is acknowledged as the best prose writer in the English Language. .http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_Conrad#Early_life

[30] Bernard Shaw by  Michael Holroyd  , Vols 1,2,3 , Random House, 1988

[35] The Bell Curve: Intelligence and Class Structure in American Life (ISBN: 0029146739)  by Herrnstein, Richard J. and  Murray, Charles  Free Press of Glencoe , Inc, Old Tappan, New Jersey, U.S.A., 1994.

[36] Can the Global Warming Zombies Admit they look like Fools Yet??

Posted by rycK on Thursday, February 28, 2008 4:49:57 PM

http://rycksrationalizations.blogtownhall.com/2008/02/28/can_the_global_warming_zombies_admit_they_look_like_fools_yet.thtml

 

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